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Is Hundsun Technologies (SHSE:600570) A Risky Investment?

Is Hundsun Technologies (SHSE:600570) A Risky Investment?

漢得信息(SHSE:600570)是一個風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  09/08 20:17

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Hundsun Technologies Inc. (SHSE:600570) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

由巴菲特的合夥人李錄支持的外部基金經理李錄在談到投資風險時毫不諱言地說:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動性,而是你是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。」 當我們考慮一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡看它的債務使用情況,因爲債務過重會導致破產。我們可以看到恒生科技股份有限公司(SHSE:600570)在業務中確實使用了債務。但股東們是否應該擔心它的債務使用情況?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務可以幫助業務,直到業務有付不起的麻煩,或者通過新的資本或自由現金流來解決。資本主義的重要組成部分是「創造性破壞」過程,在這個過程中,銀行家無情地清算失敗的企業。雖然這不太常見,但我們經常看到負債公司永久地稀釋股東,因爲借款人強迫他們以困境價格籌集資本。當然,債務可以成爲企業的重要工具,特別是對於資本密集型企業。在考慮業務使用多少債務時,首先要做的是看看它的現金和債務。

What Is Hundsun Technologies's Net Debt?

恒生科技的淨債務是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Hundsun Technologies had CN¥718.1m of debt in June 2024, down from CN¥796.5m, one year before. But on the other hand it also has CN¥2.14b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.43b net cash position.

您可以點擊下面的圖表查看歷史數據,但它顯示恒生科技於2024年6月有71810萬人民幣的債務,較一年前的79650萬人民幣有所減少。但另一方面,它也有21.4億元的現金,使其淨現金頭寸達到14.3億元。

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SHSE:600570 Debt to Equity History September 9th 2024
SHSE:600570資產負債歷史數據(截至2024年9月9日)

How Healthy Is Hundsun Technologies' Balance Sheet?

匯順科技的資產負債表如何?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Hundsun Technologies had liabilities of CN¥4.25b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥277.1m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.14b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.40b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥978.7m.

根據最近公佈的資產負債表,匯順科技在12個月內有425億人民幣的負債,超過12個月的負債爲2771萬人民幣。然而,它還有214億人民幣的現金和收到的貨款在12個月內的價值爲14億人民幣。所以其負債超過現金和(短期)應收款項的總和9787萬人民幣。

Of course, Hundsun Technologies has a market capitalization of CN¥30.5b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Hundsun Technologies boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

當然,匯順科技的市值爲305億人民幣,所以這些負債可能是可管理的。然而,我們認爲值得關注其資產負債表的強度,因爲它可能會隨時間變化。儘管它有顯著的負債,匯順科技擁有淨現金,因此可以說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

On top of that, Hundsun Technologies grew its EBIT by 33% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hundsun Technologies can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

此外,匯順科技過去12個月增加了33%的稅息前利潤(EBIt),這種增長將更容易應對其債務。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中了解到的負債最多。但最終業務的未來盈利能力將決定匯順科技能否隨時間加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您關注未來,您可以查看這份免費報告,顯示分析師的盈利預測。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Hundsun Technologies may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. In the last three years, Hundsun Technologies's free cash flow amounted to 38% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

但我們最後關注的也很重要,因爲一家公司不能用紙面利潤來償還債務,它需要現金。匯順科技可能在資產負債表上有淨現金,但了解其業務將利息和稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力以及管理債務的能力,這仍然是有趣的。在過去的三年裏,匯順科技的自由現金流佔稅息前利潤(EBIt)的比例爲38%,低於我們的預期。這在償還債務方面並不理想。

Summing Up

總之

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Hundsun Technologies has CN¥1.43b in net cash. And we liked the look of last year's 33% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't think Hundsun Technologies's use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Hundsun Technologies that you should be aware of before investing here.

儘管查看公司的總負債是明智的,但讓人放心的是恒生科技擁有14.3億人民幣的淨現金。我們喜歡去年33%的年增長率EBIt增長的情況。因此,我們認爲恒生科技的債務使用並不具有風險。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時要關注的區域。然而,並不是所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,在投資這裏之前,我們發現了恒生科技的3個警示信號,你在投資這裏之前應該注意。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,專注於沒有淨債務的公司往往更好。您可以訪問我們的特別列表,其中包括所有表現出盈利增長軌跡的公司。這是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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