Investors in Zhejiang Huahai Pharmaceutical (SHSE:600521) Have Seen Returns of 23% Over the Past Five Years
Investors in Zhejiang Huahai Pharmaceutical (SHSE:600521) Have Seen Returns of 23% Over the Past Five Years
Generally speaking the aim of active stock picking is to find companies that provide returns that are superior to the market average. And while active stock picking involves risks (and requires diversification) it can also provide excess returns. For example, the Zhejiang Huahai Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600521) share price is up 17% in the last 5 years, clearly besting the market decline of around 10% (ignoring dividends).
一般而言,積極選股的目的是尋找回報優於市場平均水平的公司。而且,儘管主動選股涉及風險(並且需要分散投資),但它也可以提供超額回報。例如,浙江華海藥業有限公司(SHSE: 600521)的股價在過去5年中上漲了17%,明顯超過了市場10%左右的跌幅(不計股息)。
So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 5 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.
因此,讓我們評估過去5年的基本面,看看它們是否與股東回報同步變化。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
引用巴菲特的話說:「船隻將在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大差異...」評估公司情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。
Over half a decade, Zhejiang Huahai Pharmaceutical managed to grow its earnings per share at 34% a year. The EPS growth is more impressive than the yearly share price gain of 3% over the same period. So it seems the market isn't so enthusiastic about the stock these days.
在過去的五年中,浙江華海藥業成功地將每股收益增長到每年34%。每股收益的增長比同期3%的年度股價增長更令人印象深刻。因此,如今市場似乎對該股並不那麼熱情。
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下圖顯示了 EPS 在一段時間內的跟蹤情況(如果你點擊圖片,你可以看到更多細節)。
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
在買入或賣出股票之前,我們始終建議仔細研究歷史增長趨勢,可在此處查閱。
What About Dividends?
那股息呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Zhejiang Huahai Pharmaceutical the TSR over the last 5 years was 23%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。儘管股價回報率僅反映股價的變化,但股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設已進行再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。我們注意到,浙江華海藥業在過去5年的股東總回報率爲23%,好於上述股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
While it's never nice to take a loss, Zhejiang Huahai Pharmaceutical shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 1.7% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 18%. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 4%, each year, over five years. It could be that the business is just facing some short term problems, but shareholders should keep a close eye on the fundamentals. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Zhejiang Huahai Pharmaceutical that you should be aware of before investing here.
儘管虧損從來都不是一件好事,但浙江華海藥業的股東可以放心,包括股息在內,他們過去十二個月的1.7%的虧損沒有18%左右的市場虧損那麼嚴重。長期投資者不會那麼沮喪,因爲他們本可以在五年內每年賺4%。可能是該企業正面臨一些短期問題,但股東應密切關注基本面。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。例如,我們發現了浙江華海藥業的兩個警告信號,在投資之前,您應該注意這些信號。
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果你想看看另一家公司——一家財務狀況可能優異的公司——那麼千萬不要錯過這份已經證明自己可以增加收益的公司的免費名單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報率。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?直接聯繫我們。或者,發送電子郵件給編輯組(網址爲)simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。