Here's Why Jiangsu High Hope International Group (SHSE:600981) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load
Here's Why Jiangsu High Hope International Group (SHSE:600981) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Jiangsu High Hope International Group Corporation (SHSE:600981) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
大衛·伊本說得很好,「波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。」當我們考慮一家公司有多大的風險時,我們總是喜歡看看它的債務使用情況,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們可以看到江蘇匯鴻集團(上海證券交易所代碼:600981)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但股東們應該擔心它的債務使用嗎?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時有危險?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
債務在業務遇到困難無力償還時會對業務提供幫助,要麼通過新資本,要麼通過自由現金流。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能一無所有。然而,更常見(雖然仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東權益,以簡單地控制債務。然而,通過替代稀釋,債務對於需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業來說是一種極好的工具。在考慮業務使用多少債務時,首先要查看其現金和債務。
What Is Jiangsu High Hope International Group's Net Debt?
江蘇匯鴻集團的淨債務是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 Jiangsu High Hope International Group had debt of CN¥12.0b, up from CN¥11.0b in one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥6.69b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥5.33b.
下面的圖片(點擊可放大)顯示,到2024年6月,江蘇匯鴻集團的債務爲120億人民幣,比一年前的110億人民幣增加了。另一方面,它有66.9億人民幣的現金,導致淨債務約爲53.3億人民幣。
How Strong Is Jiangsu High Hope International Group's Balance Sheet?
江蘇匯鴻集團的資產負債表有多強大?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Jiangsu High Hope International Group had liabilities of CN¥14.9b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥5.18b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥6.69b in cash and CN¥3.63b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥9.78b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
仔細觀察最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,江蘇匯鴻集團在12個月內有149億人民幣的短期債務,超過12個月有51.8億人民幣的長期債務。與此相抵消的是,它擁有66.9億人民幣的現金和36.3億人民幣的應收賬款,這些款項在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額超過現金和短期應收賬款的組合金額是97.8億人民幣。
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥4.19b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Jiangsu High Hope International Group would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
這種不足之處對於這家419億人民幣的公司本身來說壓力很大,就像一個孩子扛着滿滿一袋書、體育裝備和一支小號掙扎一樣。因此,我們肯定認爲股東們需要密切關注。畢竟,如果江蘇匯鴻集團今天需要償付債權人,很可能需要進行一次重大資本重組。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
我們通過將公司的淨債務與其息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)相除,並計算其息稅前利潤(EBIT)如何覆蓋其利息費用(利息覆蓋率)來衡量公司的債務負擔相對於其盈利能力。因此,我們同時考慮債務的絕對數量以及所支付的利率。
Jiangsu High Hope International Group shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (8.9), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 2.4 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. One redeeming factor for Jiangsu High Hope International Group is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of CN¥441m, over the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Jiangsu High Hope International Group will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
江蘇匯鴻集團股東面臨兩個打擊:淨債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)比例高(8.9),利息覆蓋率相對較弱,因爲EBIT僅爲利息支出的2.4倍。這意味着我們認爲它承受着沉重的債務負擔。江蘇匯鴻集團的一個救贖因素是,它將去年的EBIT虧損轉變爲過去12個月的44100萬元盈利。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是一個明顯的起點。但是,不能孤立地看待債務;因爲江蘇匯鴻集團需要盈利來償還債務。因此,在考慮債務時,確實值得關注盈利趨勢。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. During the last year, Jiangsu High Hope International Group burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤並不夠用。因此,值得檢查收益前的利息和稅前利潤(EBIT)有多少是由自由現金流支持的。在過去一年中,江蘇匯鴻集團燒掉了大量現金。雖然投資者無疑期待着這種情況在不久的將來出現逆轉,但這顯然意味着它對債務的利用更具風險。
Our View
我們的觀點
On the face of it, Jiangsu High Hope International Group's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least its EBIT growth rate is not so bad. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Jiangsu High Hope International Group has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Jiangsu High Hope International Group you should be aware of.
乍一看,江蘇匯鴻集團從EBIT轉爲自由現金流讓我們對股票持謹慎態度,其總負債水平也不比一年中最繁忙的夜晚上最空的餐廳誘人。但至少其EBIT增長率並不算差。考慮到所有上述因素,江蘇匯鴻集團的債務似乎太多了。這種風險對某些人來說沒問題,但對我們來說確實不合適。在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要重點關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可能存在資產負債表之外的風險。案例證明:我們已發現江蘇匯鴻集團存在 2 個警示信號,你應該注意。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,立即發現我們獨家的淨現金增長股票列表。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。