Investors in Zhejiang NHU (SZSE:002001) Have Unfortunately Lost 17% Over the Last Three Years
Investors in Zhejiang NHU (SZSE:002001) Have Unfortunately Lost 17% Over the Last Three Years
One of the frustrations of investing is when a stock goes down. But it's hard to avoid some disappointing investments when the overall market is down. The Zhejiang NHU Company Ltd. (SZSE:002001) is down 24% over three years, but the total shareholder return is -17% once you include the dividend. That's better than the market which declined 33% over the last three years. Even worse, it's down 8.5% in about a month, which isn't fun at all. We do note, however, that the broader market is down 4.2% in that period, and this may have weighed on the share price.
投资中的挫折之一就是股票下跌。 但在整体市场下跌时,要避免一些令人失望的投资是很难的。 浙江新和成股份有限公司(SZSE:002001)在过去三年下跌了24%,但一旦包括股息在内,总股东回报率为-17%。 这比过去三年下跌33%的市场要好。 更糟糕的是,在一个月内下跌了8.5%,这一点都不好玩。 但我们注意到,整体市场在那段时间内下跌了4.2%,这可能对股价产生了影响。
Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.
由于股东们长期以来都亏损了,因此让我们回顾过去一段时间的基本面,看看是否一直与收益相一致。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
引用巴菲特的话说,“船只会在世界各地航行,但是持平地球学会会蓬勃发展。在市场上,价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大的差距……”评估公司周围情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。
During the three years that the share price fell, Zhejiang NHU's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 3.0% each year. The share price decline of 9% is actually steeper than the EPS slippage. So it's likely that the EPS decline has disappointed the market, leaving investors hesitant to buy.
在股价下跌的三年期间,浙江新和成的每股收益(EPS)每年下降3.0%。 9%的股价下跌实际上比每股收益下滑更严重。 因此,EPS的下滑可能让市场失望,使投资者不愿意购买。
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下图显示了EPS随时间变化的情况(点击图像以显示确切值)。
We know that Zhejiang NHU has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? You could check out this free report showing analyst revenue forecasts.
我们知道新和成最近改善了其盈利能力,但它的收入将会增长吗?你可以查看这份免费报告,其中包含分析师的收入预测。
What About Dividends?
那么分红怎么样呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Zhejiang NHU the TSR over the last 3 years was -17%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
对于任何给定的股票来说,考虑总股东回报率以及股票价格回报率都非常重要。TSR结合了任何分拆或折价增资的价值,以及基于股息进行再投资的假设。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司而言,TSR通常比股票价格回报率高得多。我们注意到,对于新和成来说,过去3年的TSR为-17%,这比上面提到的股票价格回报率要好。这主要是其分红支付的结果!
A Different Perspective
不同的观点
It's nice to see that Zhejiang NHU shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 18% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 6%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example - Zhejiang NHU has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
很高兴看到新和成的股东在过去一年中获得了总股东回报率为18%的回报。当然,这包括了分红。这个增长比过去五年的年度TSR(6%)要好。因此,近期围绕该公司的情绪似乎是积极的。鉴于股票价格的动能仍然强劲,值得更仔细地研究一下该股票,以免错过机会。我发现长期来看股票价格作为业绩表现的代理非常有趣。但为了真正获得洞察力,我们也需要考虑其他信息。例如,要承担风险——新和成有1个警示信号,我们认为您应该知道。
Of course Zhejiang NHU may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
当然,新和成可能不是最好的股票选择。所以您可能希望看看这个免费的成长股收藏。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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