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Genasys Inc.'s (NASDAQ:GNSS) P/S Is Still On The Mark Following 28% Share Price Bounce

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 12 06:00

Despite an already strong run, Genasys Inc. (NASDAQ:GNSS) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 28% in the last thirty days. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 8.5% isn't as attractive.

Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Genasys is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 5.3x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Communications industry have P/S ratios below 1.1x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

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NasdaqCM:GNSS Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 12th 2024

What Does Genasys' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Genasys' revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. Perhaps the market is expecting the poor revenue to reverse, justifying it's current high P/S.. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Genasys.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Genasys would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 46%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 39% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 98% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 8.0%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Genasys' P/S is high relative to its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Genasys' P/S

Shares in Genasys have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our look into Genasys shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Genasys (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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