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There's Reason For Concern Over Giga Device Semiconductor Inc.'s (SHSE:603986) Price

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 12 19:42

You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 6.9x Giga Device Semiconductor Inc. (SHSE:603986) is a stock to potentially avoid, seeing as almost half of all the Semiconductor companies in China have P/S ratios under 4.8x and even P/S lower than 2x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

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SHSE:603986 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 12th 2024

What Does Giga Device Semiconductor's Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Giga Device Semiconductor has been relatively sluggish. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will improve markedly. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Giga Device Semiconductor will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

Giga Device Semiconductor's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Whilst it's an improvement, it wasn't enough to get the company out of the hole it was in, with revenue down 1.2% overall from three years ago. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 33% during the coming year according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 36%, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this in consideration, we believe it doesn't make sense that Giga Device Semiconductor's P/S is outpacing its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Final Word

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

It comes as a surprise to see Giga Device Semiconductor trade at such a high P/S given the revenue forecasts look less than stellar. When we see a weak revenue outlook, we suspect the share price faces a much greater risk of declining, bringing back down the P/S figures. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Having said that, be aware Giga Device Semiconductor is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Giga Device Semiconductor, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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