Here's Why Haohua Chemical Science & Technology (SHSE:600378) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden
Here's Why Haohua Chemical Science & Technology (SHSE:600378) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Haohua Chemical Science & Technology Corp., Ltd. (SHSE:600378) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
伯克希尔·哈撒韦的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李录明确表示:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动性,而是您是否会遭受到永久性资本损失。”当您评估一个公司的风险时,考虑其资产负债表是很自然的,因为债务往往与企业倒闭有关。我们可以看到,Haohua Chemical Science & Technology Corp., Ltd. (SHSE:600378) 在其业务中使用债务。更重要的问题是:这些债务产生了多大的风险?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
为什么债务会带来风险?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
一般来说,只有当公司无法轻松偿还债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题,要么通过筹集资本,要么通过自身现金流。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能一无所得。然而,更常见(但仍然痛苦)的情况是,公司不得不以较低的价格筹集新的股本资本,从而永久性地稀释股东的利益。然而,通过取代稀释,债务对于需要以高回报率投资增长的企业来说是一个极好的工具。在我们审查债务水平时,我们首先考虑现金和债务水平。
What Is Haohua Chemical Science & Technology's Net Debt?
好华化工科技股份有限公司的净债务是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Haohua Chemical Science & Technology had CN¥2.82b of debt, an increase on CN¥2.22b, over one year. However, it also had CN¥1.76b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥1.06b.
您可以点击下面的图表查看历史数据,但从2024年6月来看,好华化工科技股份有限公司的债务达到了28.2亿人民币,较去年增加了22.2亿人民币。然而,它也有17.6亿人民币的现金,因此其净债务为10.6亿人民币。
How Healthy Is Haohua Chemical Science & Technology's Balance Sheet?
豪华化工科技的资产负债表有多健康?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Haohua Chemical Science & Technology had liabilities of CN¥3.85b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥3.16b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.76b and CN¥3.66b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥1.60b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
最新的资产负债表数据显示,豪华化工科技一年内到期的负债为38.5亿人民币,之后到期的负债为31.6亿人民币。另一方面,其现金为17.6亿人民币,一年内应收款项达到36.6亿人民币。所以其负债总额比其现金和短期应收款项的组合多出16亿人民币。
Given Haohua Chemical Science & Technology has a market capitalization of CN¥27.6b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.
考虑到豪华化工科技的市值为276亿人民币,很难相信这些负债会带来多大的威胁。然而,我们认为有必要密切关注其资产负债表的强度,因为它可能随着时间的推移而发生变化。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
BJ批发俱乐部控股公司的净债务只有EBITDA的0.62倍。而其EBIT轻松覆盖其利息费用,比例为12.6倍。因此,我们对其超级保守的债务使用感到相当放心。虽然BJ批发俱乐部控股公司在EBIT方面没有取得太多进展,但至少其盈利保持稳定。当分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显然的切入点。但归根结底,企业未来的盈利能力将决定BJ批发俱乐部控股公司能否随着时间的推移加强资产负债表。因此,如果你要关注未来,可以查看一下这份免费的分析报告,了解分析师的盈利预测。
Haohua Chemical Science & Technology has net debt of just 0.87 times EBITDA, suggesting it could ramp leverage without breaking a sweat. But the really cool thing is that it actually managed to receive more interest than it paid, over the last year. So it's fair to say it can handle debt like a hotshot teppanyaki chef handles cooking. In fact Haohua Chemical Science & Technology's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 25% in the last twelve months. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Haohua Chemical Science & Technology can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
豪华化工科技的净债务只有EBITDA的0.87倍,这意味着它可以轻松加大杠杆。但真正令人惊讶的是,它在过去一年中实际上收取的利息比支付的利息还多。因此,可以说它可以像一位技艺高超的铁板烧师傅处理烹饪一样处理债务。事实上,豪华化工科技的优势在于其较低的债务水平,因为其EBIT在过去十二个月中下降了25%。当一家公司看到其盈利下滑时,有时候会发现其与债权人的关系变得恶劣。然而,从分析债务水平的角度来看,资产负债表是一个明显的起点。但最终业务的未来盈利能力将决定豪华化工科技能否在时间内加强其资产负债表。所以,如果您关注未来,可以查看这份免费报告,其中包含分析师的盈利预测。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Haohua Chemical Science & Technology saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
最后, 一个公司需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润并不能满足这个需求。所以,值得检查多少 EBIT 是由自由现金流支撑的。在过去的三年中,昊华化学科技的自由现金流总体上是负的。尽管投资者无疑希望这种情况能够逆转,但这显然意味着该公司的债务使用更加有风险。
Our View
我们的观点
Haohua Chemical Science & Technology's EBIT growth rate and conversion of EBIT to free cash flow definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT with ease. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Haohua Chemical Science & Technology is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Haohua Chemical Science & Technology is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
昊华化学科技的 EBIT 增长率和 EBIT 转换为自由现金流的能力在我们的评估中确实造成了一些压力。但好消息是,该公司似乎能够轻松支付利息支出。当我们综合考虑所有讨论的因素时,我们认为昊华化学科技在债务使用方面存在一定的风险。虽然债务可以提高回报,但我们认为公司现在的杠杆已经足够。资产负债表明显是分析债务时要关注的领域。然而,并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表中 - 远非如此。请注意,在我们的投资分析中,昊华化学科技显示出了两个警示信号,您应该了解一下......
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
说到底,有时候更容易集中精力关注根本不需要债务的公司。读者可以免费访问零净债务增长股票列表。
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