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Will Weakness in First Tractor Company Limited's (HKG:38) Stock Prove Temporary Given Strong Fundamentals?

Will Weakness in First Tractor Company Limited's (HKG:38) Stock Prove Temporary Given Strong Fundamentals?

一拖股份有限公司(HKG:38)的股票短期走弱是否会在强劲基本面支撑下暂时?
Simply Wall St ·  09/13 02:24

With its stock down 11% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard First Tractor (HKG:38). But if you pay close attention, you might gather that its strong financials could mean that the stock could potentially see an increase in value in the long-term, given how markets usually reward companies with good financial health. In this article, we decided to focus on First Tractor's ROE.

在过去三个月里,一拖股份(HKG:38)的股票下跌了11%,这容易让人忽视。但是,如果您仔细注意,您可能会发现它的良好财务状况可能意味着股票在长期内有可能看到增长,因为市场通常会奖励那些财务状况良好的公司。在本文中,我们决定关注一拖股份的ROE。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

roe或权益回报率是评估公司有效利用股东投资产生回报效率的有用工具。简而言之,roe显示每个股东投资所产生的利润。

How Is ROE Calculated?

净资产收益率怎么计算?

The formula for ROE is:

roe的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for First Tractor is:

因此,根据上述公式,一拖股份的roe为:

15% = CN¥1.1b ÷ CN¥7.8b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

15%= CN¥11亿 ÷ CN¥78亿(根据过去12个月截至2024年6月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each HK$1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made HK$0.15 in profit.

“回报率”是公司过去一年所赚取的收入。一个概念化的方法是,对于每HK$1的股东资本,公司的盈利为HK$0.15。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

roe与盈利增长有何关系?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

我们已经确定,ROE是一个公司未来盈利的高效测量工具。基于公司选择重新投资或“保留”多少利润,我们可以评估公司未来产生利润的能力。假设其他条件相同,具有更高股本回报率和更高利润保留比的公司通常增长速度较高,而没有相同特征的公司则通常增长速度较低。

First Tractor's Earnings Growth And 15% ROE

一拖股份的盈利增长和15%的roe

To start with, First Tractor's ROE looks acceptable. And on comparing with the industry, we found that the the average industry ROE is similar at 12%. This certainly adds some context to First Tractor's exceptional 49% net income growth seen over the past five years. However, there could also be other drivers behind this growth. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

首先,一拖股份的roe看起来是可以接受的。与行业相比,我们发现行业平均roe在12%左右。这无疑为一拖股份过去五年中出色的49%净利润增长增添了一些背景。然而,这种增长背后可能还有其他驱动因素。例如,可能是公司的管理层做出了一些良好的战略决策,或者公司的派息比率较低。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that First Tractor's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 8.9% in the same period, which is great to see.

接下来,与行业净利润增长相比,我们发现一拖股份的增长相当高,而同期行业平均增长为8.9%,这是令人高兴的见到。

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SEHK:38 Past Earnings Growth September 13th 2024
SEHK:38过去的盈利增长2024年9月13日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if First Tractor is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

当估值一只股票时,收益增长是一个重要的指标。现下判断投资者需要的是,预期的盈利增长已经融入股票价格中,还是缺乏预期的盈利增长。这样一来,他们就能够判断股票是畅游蓝海还是陷入沼泽之中。预期盈利增长一个良好的指标是市盈率,它根据盈利前景决定市场愿意为股票支付的价格。所以,你可能想要查看一下一拖股份的市盈率相对于其行业来说是高还是低。

Is First Tractor Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

一拖股份是否有效利用其利润?

The three-year median payout ratio for First Tractor is 30%, which is moderately low. The company is retaining the remaining 70%. By the looks of it, the dividend is well covered and First Tractor is reinvesting its profits efficiently as evidenced by its exceptional growth which we discussed above.

一拖股份的三年期间的平均派息比率为30%,这是一个中等偏低水平。该公司留存了其余的70%。从外观上看,股息得到了很好的覆盖,一拖股份正在高效地将其利润再投资,正如我们上面所讨论的那样,这也反映了其杰出的增长。

Additionally, First Tractor has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders.

此外,一拖股份至少十年来一直派发股息,这意味着该公司非常重视与股东的利润分红。

Summary

总的来说,我们对伟明环保的表现非常满意。具体而言,我们喜欢公司以高回报率再投资了其利润的很大一部分。当然,这导致公司的收益大幅增长。但是,最新的行业分析师预测表明,该公司的收益预计将加速增长。

Overall, we are quite pleased with First Tractor's performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

总体而言,我们对一拖股份的表现非常满意。特别是,我们喜欢公司正在以较高的回报率大规模重新投资业务。毋庸置疑,这导致了令人印象深刻的盈利增长。然而,需要注意的是,预计公司的盈利增长将放缓,正如当前分析师预测所预计的那样。要了解更多关于该公司未来盈利增长预测的信息,请查看这份关于该公司分析师预测的免费报告。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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