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Could The Market Be Wrong About China Merchants Energy Shipping Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601872) Given Its Attractive Financial Prospects?

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 13 20:13

China Merchants Energy Shipping (SHSE:601872) has had a rough three months with its share price down 24%. But if you pay close attention, you might gather that its strong financials could mean that the stock could potentially see an increase in value in the long-term, given how markets usually reward companies with good financial health. Particularly, we will be paying attention to China Merchants Energy Shipping's ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for China Merchants Energy Shipping is:

12% = CN¥4.7b ÷ CN¥38b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.12.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of China Merchants Energy Shipping's Earnings Growth And 12% ROE

To start with, China Merchants Energy Shipping's ROE looks acceptable. On comparing with the average industry ROE of 9.6% the company's ROE looks pretty remarkable. This probably laid the ground for China Merchants Energy Shipping's moderate 18% net income growth seen over the past five years.

We then performed a comparison between China Merchants Energy Shipping's net income growth with the industry, which revealed that the company's growth is similar to the average industry growth of 19% in the same 5-year period.

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SHSE:601872 Past Earnings Growth September 14th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is China Merchants Energy Shipping fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is China Merchants Energy Shipping Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

China Merchants Energy Shipping has a healthy combination of a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 32% (or a retention ratio of 68%) and a respectable amount of growth in earnings as we saw above, meaning that the company has been making efficient use of its profits.

Additionally, China Merchants Energy Shipping has paid dividends over a period of nine years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 38%. Still, forecasts suggest that China Merchants Energy Shipping's future ROE will rise to 16% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

Summary

In total, we are pretty happy with China Merchants Energy Shipping's performance. In particular, it's great to see that the company is investing heavily into its business and along with a high rate of return, that has resulted in a sizeable growth in its earnings. The latest industry analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to maintain its current growth rate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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