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There's Reason For Concern Over Shunten International (Holdings) Limited's (HKG:932) Massive 73% Price Jump

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 14 20:47

Those holding Shunten International (Holdings) Limited (HKG:932) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 73% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 46% over that time.

Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Shunten International (Holdings)'s price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Personal Products industry is similar at about 0.8x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

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SEHK:932 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 15th 2024

What Does Shunten International (Holdings)'s Recent Performance Look Like?

Revenue has risen firmly for Shunten International (Holdings) recently, which is pleasing to see. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this respectable revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shunten International (Holdings)'s earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shunten International (Holdings)?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Shunten International (Holdings)'s to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 9.0% last year. Revenue has also lifted 5.6% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 9.3% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Shunten International (Holdings)'s P/S is comparable to that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Shunten International (Holdings) appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Shunten International (Holdings)'s average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's hard to accept the current share price as fair value.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 5 warning signs for Shunten International (Holdings) you should be aware of, and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shunten International (Holdings), explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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