Shanghai Anoky Group Co., Ltd (SZSE:300067) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 25% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 36%.
Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.7x, you may consider Shanghai Anoky Group as a stock not worth researching with its 5.3x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How Has Shanghai Anoky Group Performed Recently?
The revenue growth achieved at Shanghai Anoky Group over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this decent revenue performance to beat out the industry over the near term, which has kept the P/S propped up. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shanghai Anoky Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Shanghai Anoky Group's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 28% gain to the company's top line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen the company endure a nasty 16% drop in revenue in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 23% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Shanghai Anoky Group is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Shanghai Anoky Group's P/S
Shares in Shanghai Anoky Group have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Shanghai Anoky Group revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
Having said that, be aware Shanghai Anoky Group is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 3 of those are significant.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.