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Improved Revenues Required Before MannKind Corporation (NASDAQ:MNKD) Stock's 27% Jump Looks Justified

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 17 06:01

MannKind Corporation (NASDAQ:MNKD) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 54%.

Although its price has surged higher, MannKind's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 7.3x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Biotechs industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 11.8x and even P/S above 69x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

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NasdaqGM:MNKD Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 17th 2024

What Does MannKind's Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, MannKind has been relatively sluggish. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on MannKind will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is MannKind's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, MannKind would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 57% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 233% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 19% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 144% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's understandable that MannKind's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What Does MannKind's P/S Mean For Investors?

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift MannKind's P/S close to the industry median. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As expected, our analysis of MannKind's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 5 warning signs for MannKind (2 are concerning!) that we have uncovered.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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