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We Think Pentair (NYSE:PNR) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Pentair (NYSE:PNR) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我们认为滨特尔(纽交所:PNR)能够控制好自己的债务
Simply Wall St ·  09/17 12:22

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Pentair plc (NYSE:PNR) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

传奇基金经理李录(得到了查理·芒格的支持)曾经说过,“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动性,而是你是否会遭受永久性资本损失。”所以,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,考虑债务是很明显的,因为过多的债务可能会使一家公司破产。我们可以看到滨特尔股份有限公司(NYSE:PNR)在业务中确实使用了债务。但真正的问题是这些债务是否使公司具有风险。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务对于企业来说是一个我行我素之机,直到企业遇到用新的资本或自由现金流支付债务的困扰。资本主义的核心是无情地通过银行家们对失败的企业进行“创造性破坏”,将其清算。然而,更为频繁(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,一家公司必须以低价发行股票,永久稀释股东权益,以恢复其资产负债表的稳定。然而,通过取代股权稀释,债务可以成为那些需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业的一种极为有效的工具。当我们考虑一家公司对债务的使用时,我们首先关注现金和债务的总量。

What Is Pentair's Net Debt?

滨特尔的净债务是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Pentair had debt of US$1.76b at the end of June 2024, a reduction from US$2.11b over a year. On the flip side, it has US$214.3m in cash leading to net debt of about US$1.54b.

下面的图片(可以点击以放大)显示,滨特尔在2024年6月底的债务为1.76亿美元,比去年的21.1亿美元减少了。另一方面,它有2,143万美元的现金,净债务约为1.54亿美元。

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NYSE:PNR Debt to Equity History September 17th 2024
纽交所:PNR资产负债历史数据 截至2024年9月17日

How Strong Is Pentair's Balance Sheet?

滨特尔的资产负债表有多强?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Pentair had liabilities of US$950.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$2.16b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$214.3m and US$629.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$2.27b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

从最新的资产负债表可以看出,滨特尔有95040万美元的短期到期负债,以及216亿美元的长期到期负债。另一方面,滨特尔有21430万美元的现金和62970万美元的短期应收款项。因此,它的负债总额比其现金和短期应收款项多227亿美元。

Given Pentair has a humongous market capitalization of US$15.1b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

考虑到滨特尔拥有庞大的市值151亿美元,很难相信这些负债会带来太大威胁。但是有足够多的负债,我们当然建议股东继续关注资产负债表的情况。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

我们使用两个主要的比率来告诉我们相对于收益的债务水平。第一个是净债务除以利息、税、折旧和摊销前利润(EBITDA),而第二个是其利润前利息和税(EBIT)覆盖其利息费用的次数(或其利息覆盖率,简称)。因此,我们考虑与折旧和摊销费用相关的盈利以及没有相关费用的盈利相对于债务水平。

Pentair's net debt of 1.6 times EBITDA suggests graceful use of debt. And the alluring interest cover (EBIT of 7.8 times interest expense) certainly does not do anything to dispel this impression. The good news is that Pentair has increased its EBIT by 5.8% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Pentair can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

滨特尔的净债务为EBITDA的1.6倍,表明其合理运用了债务。而诱人的利息覆盖率(EBIT的7.8倍利息支出)确实没有消除这种印象。好消息是,滨特尔的EBIT在过去12个月增长了5.8%,这应该消除了关于偿还债务的担忧。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是一个明显的起点。但最终企业的未来盈利能力将决定滨特尔是否能够加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您想知道专业人士的看法,您可能会发现对分析师利润预测的这份免费报告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Pentair recorded free cash flow worth 62% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

但我们最后要考虑的也很重要,因为一家公司无法用虚拟利润来偿还债务,它需要真金白银。因此,我们明确需要看一下这个EBIT是否带来相应的自由现金流。在最近的三年中,滨特尔记录的自由现金流占EBIT的比例为62%,这在正常范围之内,因为自由现金流不包括利息和税金。这笔自由现金流使公司有能力在适当的时候偿还债务。

Our View

我们的观点

We feel that Pentair's solid conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was really heart warming, like a mid-winter fair trade hot chocolate in a tasteful alpine chalet. And its interest cover should also leave shareholders feeling frolicsome. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Pentair can handle its debt fairly comfortably. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Pentair has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

我们认为滨特尔将EBIt转化为自由现金流的能力非常可靠,就像在一个富有品味的高山木屋里品尝到一杯公平贸易的热巧克力一样让人感到温暖。同时,它的利息覆盖率也应该让股东们感到开心。综合考虑所有上述因素,我们认为滨特尔可以相当轻松地处理其债务。在积极方面,这种杠杆可以提高股东回报,但潜在的风险是更高的损失风险,因此值得监测资产负债表。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显然的起点。然而,并不是所有投资风险都来自资产负债表-远非如此。例如-滨特尔有1个警示信号,我们认为您应该注意。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果在所有这些之后,您更感兴趣的是具有坚实资产负债表的快速增长公司,那么不要拖延,查看我们的净现金增长股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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