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Are Shandong Linglong Tyre Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:601966) Mixed Financials The Reason For Its Gloomy Performance on The Stock Market?

Are Shandong Linglong Tyre Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:601966) Mixed Financials The Reason For Its Gloomy Performance on The Stock Market?

山东玲珑轮胎股份有限公司(SHSE:601966)的混合财务是否是其股市表现低迷的原因?
Simply Wall St ·  09/17 19:14

It is hard to get excited after looking at Shandong Linglong TyreLtd's (SHSE:601966) recent performance, when its stock has declined 15% over the past three months. We, however decided to study the company's financials to determine if they have got anything to do with the price decline. Long-term fundamentals are usually what drive market outcomes, so it's worth paying close attention. In this article, we decided to focus on Shandong Linglong TyreLtd's ROE.

在看过山东铃岚轮胎有限公司(SHSE:601966)近期表现后,很难感到兴奋,因为其股票在过去三个月中下跌了15%。然而,我们决定研究公司的财务状况,以确定其是否与股价下跌有关。长期基本面通常是推动市场结果的因素,因此值得密切关注。在本文中,我们决定重点关注山东铃岚轮胎有限公司的roe。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

roe指股东权益回报率,是一种有用的工具,用于评估公司如何有效地从股东获得的投资中产生回报。简单来说,这衡量了一家公司相对于股东权益的盈利能力。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股东权益报酬率?

The formula for return on equity is:

权益回报率的计算公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shandong Linglong TyreLtd is:

因此,根据上述公式,山东玲珑轮胎有限公司的ROE为:

8.3% = CN¥1.8b ÷ CN¥21b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

8.3% = CN¥18亿 ÷ CN¥210亿(基于截至2024年6月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.08 in profit.

'回报'是每年的利润。一个概念是,对于每个股东的1元人民币,该公司赚取0.08元人民币的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

roe与盈利增长有何关系?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我们已经确定ROE作为一个高效的盈利规模可以评估公司未来的收益。根据公司选择再投资或保留多少利润,我们可以评估公司未来盈利的能力。假设其他所有条件均保持不变,ROE和利润留存率越高,相对于没有这些特点的公司,公司的增长率就越高。

A Side By Side comparison of Shandong Linglong TyreLtd's Earnings Growth And 8.3% ROE

山东力龙轮胎有限公司的盈利增长和8.3%的roe进行了横向比较

When you first look at it, Shandong Linglong TyreLtd's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 8.5%, we may spare it some thought. But Shandong Linglong TyreLtd saw a five year net income decline of 15% over the past five years. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with. Therefore, the decline in earnings could also be the result of this.

当您刚开始看的时候,山东力龙轮胎有限公司的roe看起来并不那么吸引人。然而,考虑到该公司的roe与8.5%的行业平均roe相似,我们可能要认真考虑一下。但是,在过去五年,山东力龙轮胎有限公司的净利润下降了15%。请记住,该公司的roe一开始就有点低。因此,盈利的下降也可能是这个原因导致的。

However, when we compared Shandong Linglong TyreLtd's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 9.9% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

然而,当我们将山东力龙轮胎有限公司的增长与行业进行比较时,我们发现,尽管该公司的盈利一直在缩水,但行业在同一时期实现了9.9%的盈利增长。这是相当令人担忧的。

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SHSE:601966 Past Earnings Growth September 17th 2024
SHSE:601966 历史数据 2024年9月17日的盈利增长

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Shandong Linglong TyreLtd is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

盈利增长是估值股票时要考虑的重要指标。投资者重要知道市场是否已经对公司预期的盈利增长(或下降)进行了定价。这样做,他们就能判断股票是走向蔚蓝还是等待泥泞的水域。预期盈利增长的一个很好的指标是市盈率,它决定市场愿意基于公司盈利前景支付多少价格。因此,您可能希望检查山东力诺轮胎股份有限公司的市盈率是高还是低,相对于其所在的行业板块。

Is Shandong Linglong TyreLtd Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

山东力诺轮胎股份有限公司是否有效利用留存盈利?

In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 31% (that is, a retention ratio of 69%), the fact that Shandong Linglong TyreLtd's earnings have shrunk is quite puzzling. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

尽管山东力诺轮胎股份有限公司的正常三年中位数股息比率为31%(即留存比率为69%),但其盈利萎缩的事实确实令人困惑。看起来可能有一些其他原因解释这种情况。例如,业务可能处于衰退状态。

Additionally, Shandong Linglong TyreLtd has paid dividends over a period of seven years, which means that the company's management is rather focused on keeping up its dividend payments, regardless of the shrinking earnings.

此外,山东玲珑轮胎有限公司已经连续七年派发股息,这意味着该公司的管理层非常专注于保持其股息支付,而不管收益的萎缩。

Conclusion

结论

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Shandong Linglong TyreLtd's performance. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

总体而言,我们对山东鲁胶股份有限公司的业绩持有一种矛盾的态度。虽然该公司具有较高的利润保留率,但其较低的资金回报率可能阻碍了其盈利增长。因此,最新的行业分析师预测显示,分析师预计该公司的盈利增长率将会有巨大的改善。要了解有关该公司的最新分析师预测,请查看该公司的分析师预测可视化图表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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