When you see that almost half of the companies in the Luxury industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.3x, DR Corporation Limited (SZSE:301177) looks to be giving off strong sell signals with its 4.1x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
SZSE:301177 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 18th 2024
How Has DR Performed Recently?
DR could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the market is expecting the poor revenue to reverse, justifying it's current high P/S.. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on DR will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like DR's to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 40%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 57% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 6.2% as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 15%.
With this information, we find it concerning that DR is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the negative growth outlook.
What We Can Learn From DR's P/S?
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
For a company with revenues that are set to decline in the context of a growing industry, DR's P/S is much higher than we would've anticipated. In cases like this where we see revenue decline on the horizon, we suspect the share price is at risk of following suit, bringing back the high P/S into the realms of suitability. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it'll be a challenging time for shareholders.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for DR (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on DR, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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