CBA or NAB Shares: Which ASX Bank Stock Is the Better Buy?
CBA or NAB Shares: Which ASX Bank Stock Is the Better Buy?
$CommBank (CBA.AU)$ and N $National Australia Bank Ltd (NAB.AU)$ hares have both produced strong gains for investors this year.
$CommBank (CBA.AU)$ 和 N $National Australia Bank Ltd (NAB.AU)$ 今年,野兔和 N 都爲投資者帶來了強勁的收益。
Commonwealth Bank shares are currently trading at $143.32, up 26% so far this year, while National Australia Bank shares are up 28% and currently trade at $39.42.
澳洲共和銀行的股票現價爲143.32美元,今年迄今爲止上漲了26%,而澳洲國民銀行的股票上漲了28%,當前交易價爲39.42美元。
With both bank stocks performing well this year, which one offers better value for investors? Let's see what the experts think.
由於兩家銀行股票今年表現良好,哪家股票爲投資者提供更好的價值呢?讓我們看看專家的觀點。
First, the investment backdrop
首先,投資背景
The ASX 200 is dominated by two main sectors: banks and miners. As my colleague Tristan recently reported, this year, the bank sector has outshined the miners.
ASX 200指數由兩個主要板塊組成:銀行和礦業。正如我的同事Tristan最近報道的,今年銀行業表現超過了礦業。
But does that mean its time to invest in the banks for continued growth, or should investors consider switching to the beaten-up mining shares?
但這是否意味着現在是時候投資於銀行以持續增長,還是投資者應考慮轉向備受打擊的礦業股?
Some fund managers think bank valuations have become stretched. $WAM Leaders Ltd (WLE.AU)$ recently pointed out that the banking majors are not delivering the earnings growth to justify their elevated valuations.
一些基金經理認爲銀行估值已經被拉伸。 $WAM Leaders Ltd (WLE.AU)$ 最近指出銀行業巨頭並未實現盈利增長,無法證明它們高估的價值。
The firm suggested that large institutions – such as superannuation funds – have been driving the buying spree in bank shares, possibly without enough attention to the value on offer.
該公司暗示,像養老金基金等大型機構一直在推動銀行股的購買熱潮,可能並沒有足夠的關注價值的付出。
It believes the market could see a turning point, with investors rapidly moving out of ASX bank shares and into mining stocks, which might cause "a rapid snapback."
它認爲市場可能會出現轉折點,投資者迅速轉移ASX銀行股到礦業股,這可能導致"急劇反彈"。
Compare and contrast: CBA vs NAB shares
比較與對比:CBA vs NAb股
National Australia Bank shares have long been favoured by income-focused investors here in Australia.
在澳大利亞,澳大利亞國民銀行股長期被收入關注的投資者青睞。
According to CommSec, NAB is projected to deliver a dividend of $1.70 per share in FY25, implying a dividend yield of 4.3% at the current share price.
根據CommSec的預測,NAb在FY25年預計每股支付1.70美元的股息,在當前股價下意味着股息率爲4.3%。
While this yield looks appealing, especially compared to term deposits, the bank's valuation has become a point of concern.
儘管這一股息率看起來很吸引人,特別是與定期存款相比,但銀行的估值已成爲一個令人擔憂的焦點。
Its share price has risen significantly faster than its earnings, pushing its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio to 18 times.
其股價上漲速度明顯快於盈利增長,推動其市盈率(P/E)比率達到18倍。
This is higher than its average P/E ratio over the past few years.
這高於過去幾年的平均市盈率。
Rising arrears, falling net interest margins (NIMs), and competition in the lending market are potential headwinds that could challenge NAB's growth prospects.
不良貸款增加、淨利差下降以及貸款市場競爭是可能挑戰NAB增長前景的潛在阻力。
Meanwhile, Commonwealth Bank shares have surged in 2024.
與此同時,澳大利亞聯邦銀行股票在2024年大幅上漲。
The bank recently announced the activation of its AI Factory in collaboration with Amazon Web Services (AWS), aiming to accelerate its adoption of generative AI across its business.
該銀行最近宣佈與亞馬遜網絡服務(AWS)合作開發其人工智能工廠,旨在加速在業務中採用生成式人工智能。
The bank's focus on using AI for enhanced customer experiences and efficiencies in operations could drive cost savings in the long term – if successful.
該銀行專注於利用人工智能提升客戶體驗和運營效率,如果成功的話,有望在長期內帶來成本節約。
Furthermore, Commonwealth Bank's lending growth has been a key driver of its share price rise.
此外,澳大利亞聯邦銀行的貸款增長一直是其股價上漲的關鍵驅動因素。
The bank reported lending $39 billion to businesses and providing home financing to 120,000 households over the past year.
該銀行在過去一年裏向企業借款390億美元,並向12萬個家庭提供住房貸款。
With lending growth closely tied to bank share price performance, it could see continued momentum if this trend persists.
由於貸款增長與銀行股價表現密切相關,如果這一趨勢持續下去,它可能會保持持續的勢頭。
Which bank stock is the better buy?
哪家銀行股票是更好的購買選擇?
So, CBA or NAB shares—which is the better buy? Well, despite strong performance, analysts are not bullish on either stock.
那麼,澳大利亞聯邦銀行(CBA)或澳新銀行(NAB)的股票--哪個更值得購買?儘管表現強勁,但分析師對這兩隻股票都不看好。
Goldman Sachs, for instance, has a sell rating on both banks. It recently reiterated its $100.35 price target for CBA, implying a 30% downside.
例如,高盛對這兩家銀行都有賣出評級。它最近重申了對CBA的100.35美元的目標價,暗示下行30%。
Similarly, Goldman set a $34.24 target for NAB shares, suggesting a 13% drop from current levels.
同樣,高盛給NAB的股票設定了34.24美元的目標價,暗示當前水平下跌13%。
Meanwhile, both shares are rated as a 'moderate sell' by the consensus of analyst estimates, according to CommSec.
與此同時,根據CommSec的分析師預估,這兩隻股票都被評爲「中度賣出」。
In fact, no brokers recommend to buy Commonwealth Bank right now, whereas one says to buy National Australia Bank.
事實上,目前沒有經紀人建議購買澳大利亞聯邦銀行股票,而有一家建議購買澳大利亞國民銀行股票。
CBA and NAB shares takeaway
澳聯銀行和澳洲國民銀行的股票情況
CBA and NAB shares have been stellar performers in 2024, but both face headwinds that could impact future growth.
澳聯銀行和澳洲國民銀行的股票在2024年表現出色,但兩者都面臨可能影響未來增長的逆風。
Commonwealth Bank stock is up 40% in the last year, whereas National Australia Bank shares are up 33%.
澳大利亞聯邦銀行股價在過去一年上漲了40%,而澳大利亞國民銀行股價上漲了33%。