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Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group (SZSE:000983) Stock Performs Better Than Its Underlying Earnings Growth Over Last Five Years

山西焼結石炭エネルギーグループ(SZSE:000983)株は過去5年間の基礎的な利益成長よりも良いパフォーマンスを発揮しています

Simply Wall St ·  09/19 19:26

Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000983) shareholders might understandably be very concerned that the share price has dropped 30% in the last quarter. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been pleasing. Its return of 66% has certainly bested the market return! While the returns over the last 5 years have been good, we do feel sorry for those shareholders who haven't held shares that long, because the share price is down 44% in the last three years.

On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During five years of share price growth, Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 9.3% per year. So the EPS growth rate is rather close to the annualized share price gain of 11% per year. Therefore one could conclude that sentiment towards the shares hasn't morphed very much. Indeed, it would appear the share price is reacting to the EPS.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

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SZSE:000983 Earnings Per Share Growth September 19th 2024

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. This free interactive report on Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group, it has a TSR of 124% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group shareholders are down 19% over twelve months (even including dividends), which isn't far from the market return of -19%. The silver lining is that longer term investors would have made a total return of 18% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data remains strong, and the share price is simply down on sentiment, then this could be an opportunity worth investigating. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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