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There Are Some Reasons To Suggest That Dawnrays Pharmaceutical (Holdings)'s (HKG:2348) Earnings Are A Poor Reflection Of Profitability

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 19 19:41

Dawnrays Pharmaceutical (Holdings) Limited's (HKG:2348) stock performed strongly after the recent earnings report. Investors should be cautious however, as there some causes of concern deeper in the numbers.

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SEHK:2348 Earnings and Revenue History September 19th 2024

A Closer Look At Dawnrays Pharmaceutical (Holdings)'s Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Over the twelve months to June 2024, Dawnrays Pharmaceutical (Holdings) recorded an accrual ratio of 0.24. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥125m, which is significantly less than its profit of CN¥563.1m. We note, however, that Dawnrays Pharmaceutical (Holdings) grew its free cash flow over the last year. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Dawnrays Pharmaceutical (Holdings).

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Dawnrays Pharmaceutical (Holdings)'s profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥293m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Dawnrays Pharmaceutical (Holdings) had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to June 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

Our Take On Dawnrays Pharmaceutical (Holdings)'s Profit Performance

Summing up, Dawnrays Pharmaceutical (Holdings) received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. Considering all this we'd argue Dawnrays Pharmaceutical (Holdings)'s profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Dawnrays Pharmaceutical (Holdings) (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.

Our examination of Dawnrays Pharmaceutical (Holdings) has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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