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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About China South Publishing & Media Group Co., Ltd (SHSE:601098)?

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About China South Publishing & Media Group Co., Ltd (SHSE:601098)?

股价下跌但基本面稳固:市场对中国南方出版传媒集团股份有限公司(SHSE:601098)是错的吗?
Simply Wall St ·  09/22 20:21

It is hard to get excited after looking at China South Publishing & Media Group's (SHSE:601098) recent performance, when its stock has declined 4.9% over the past week. However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. Specifically, we decided to study China South Publishing & Media Group's ROE in this article.

查看中国南方出版传媒集团(SHSE:601098)最近的表现后很难感到兴奋,因为其股票在过去一周内下跌了4.9%。然而,仔细研究其健康的财务状况可能会让您重新考虑。鉴于基本面通常推动着长期市场结果,这家公司值得一看。特别是,我们决定在本文中研究中国南方出版传媒集团的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

对于股东来说,股东回报率(ROE)是一个重要的考虑因素,因为它告诉股东他们的资本被有效地再投资了多少。换句话说,它是一个衡量公司股东提供的资本回报率的盈利能力比率。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

怎样计算ROE?

The formula for ROE is:

roe的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for China South Publishing & Media Group is:

因此,根据上述公式,中国南方出版传媒集团的roe为:

11% = CN¥1.8b ÷ CN¥16b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

11% = 18亿人民币 ÷ 160亿人民币(基于截至2024年6月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.11 in profit.

“回报”是过去十二个月的利润。这意味着对于每1元股东权益,公司可以创造0.11元的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

roe与盈利增长有何关系?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到roe衡量公司生成利润的效率。根据公司再投资或“保留”的利润比例及其有效性,我们能够评估公司的收益增长潜力。在其他一切保持不变的情况下,roe和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高,相比于那些不一定拥有这些特性的公司。

China South Publishing & Media Group's Earnings Growth And 11% ROE

中国南方出版传媒集团的盈利增长和11%的roe

To start with, China South Publishing & Media Group's ROE looks acceptable. Especially when compared to the industry average of 5.2% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. This certainly adds some context to China South Publishing & Media Group's decent 6.4% net income growth seen over the past five years.

首先,中国南方出版传媒集团的roe看起来还可以。尤其是与行业平均水平5.2%相比,该公司的roe看起来相当令人印象深刻。这无疑为中国南方出版传媒集团过去五年中看到的6.4%的净利润增长增添了一些背景。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that China South Publishing & Media Group's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 3.4% in the same period, which is great to see.

接下来,与行业净利润增长相比,我们发现中国南方出版传媒集团的增长率相当高,与同期3.4%的行业平均增长率相比,这是令人欣慰的。

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SHSE:601098 Past Earnings Growth September 23rd 2024
SHSE:601098 过去盈利增长 2024年9月23日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if China South Publishing & Media Group is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

给公司附加价值的基础很大程度上取决于其收益增长。投资者知道市场是否已将公司预期的收益增长(或下降)价格化是很重要的。这样一来,他们就能知道股票是否正朝着清澈见底的方向前进,还是等待着沼泽般的水域。预期收益增长的一个很好的指标是市盈率,它确定了市场愿意为一支股票支付多少钱,基于其盈利前景。因此,您可能想要检查中国南方出版传媒集团的市盈率是高还是低,与其所在行业相比。

Is China South Publishing & Media Group Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

中国南方出版传媒集团是否有效利用了留存收益?

While China South Publishing & Media Group has a three-year median payout ratio of 73% (which means it retains 27% of profits), the company has still seen a fair bit of earnings growth in the past, meaning that its high payout ratio hasn't hampered its ability to grow.

虽然中国南方出版传媒集团的三年中位数支付比率为73%(这意味着它保留了27%的利润),但公司在过去仍然看到了相当大的收益增长,这意味着其较高的支付比率并没有妨碍其增长能力。

Moreover, China South Publishing & Media Group is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years.

此外,我们根据其至少持续十年支付股息的长期历史,中国南方出版传媒集团有决心将利润分享给股东。

Conclusion

结论

In total, we are pretty happy with China South Publishing & Media Group's performance. In particular, its high ROE is quite noteworthy and also the probable explanation behind its considerable earnings growth. Yet, the company is retaining a small portion of its profits. Which means that the company has been able to grow its earnings in spite of it, so that's not too bad. That being so, a study of the latest analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to see a slowdown in its future earnings growth. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

总的来说,我们对中国南方出版传媒集团的表现感到满意。特别是,它的高roe值相当引人注目,也是其可观盈利增长的可能解释。然而,公司仍然保留了部分利润。这意味着公司能够在此情况下提高盈利,所以情况并不太糟糕。尽管如此,对最新分析师预测的研究显示,预计公司未来的盈利增长将放缓。这些分析师的预期是基于行业的广泛预期,还是基于公司的基本面?点击这里查看我们分析师对公司的预测页面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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