Shanghai Haoyuan Chemexpress Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688131) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 27% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 36% in the last twelve months.
After such a large jump in price, given close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 26x, you may consider Shanghai Haoyuan Chemexpress as a stock to avoid entirely with its 48.8x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Shanghai Haoyuan Chemexpress has been very sluggish. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Keen to find out how analysts think Shanghai Haoyuan Chemexpress' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Is There Enough Growth For Shanghai Haoyuan Chemexpress?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Shanghai Haoyuan Chemexpress' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 41% decrease to the company's bottom line. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 58% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 45% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 19% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that Shanghai Haoyuan Chemexpress' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From Shanghai Haoyuan Chemexpress' P/E?
The strong share price surge has got Shanghai Haoyuan Chemexpress' P/E rushing to great heights as well. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Shanghai Haoyuan Chemexpress' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Shanghai Haoyuan Chemexpress (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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