Is Jason Furniture (Hangzhou)Ltd (SHSE:603816) A Risky Investment?
Is Jason Furniture (Hangzhou)Ltd (SHSE:603816) A Risky Investment?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Jason Furniture (Hangzhou) Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603816) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
當霍華德·馬克斯說到這一點時表達得很好,他說,與其擔心股價波動,'我擔心的是永久性損失的可能性... 我認識的每位實際投資者都會擔心這個問題。' 當您審查公司的風險時,考慮到它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲當一家企業倒閉時通常涉及債務。我們可以看到顧家家居(杭州)有限公司(SHSE:603816)的業務確實使用債務。 但股東們應該擔心它的債務使用嗎?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
爲什麼債務會帶來風險?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
當企業無法通過自由現金流或以有利價格募資來輕鬆履行債務和其他負債時,債務和其他負債對企業就會構成風險。資本主義的一部分是「創意毀滅」的過程,其中銀行家們無情地清算失敗的企業。然而,更頻繁但仍然昂貴的情況是公司必須以基準價格發行股票來穩定其資產負債表,從而永久性地稀釋股東。當然,對於資本密集型企業,債務可能是一個重要的工具。當我們考慮一家公司的債務使用時,我們首先會看現金和債務的總和。
What Is Jason Furniture (Hangzhou)Ltd's Net Debt?
什麼是顧家家居(杭州)有限公司的淨債務?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Jason Furniture (Hangzhou)Ltd had CN¥1.09b of debt in June 2024, down from CN¥2.42b, one year before. But it also has CN¥1.82b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥728.3m net cash.
您可以點擊下面的圖表查看歷史數據,但它顯示,顧家家居(杭州)有限公司在2024年6月有10.9億人民幣的債務,比一年前的24.2億人民幣下降。 但它還有18.2億人民幣的現金來抵消這筆債務,這意味着其淨現金爲72830萬人民幣。

How Strong Is Jason Furniture (Hangzhou)Ltd's Balance Sheet?
顧家家居(杭州)有限公司的資產負債表有多強?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Jason Furniture (Hangzhou)Ltd had liabilities of CN¥5.57b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥494.0m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.82b in cash and CN¥1.56b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥2.69b.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,顧家家居(杭州)有限公司有短期內到期的55.7億人民幣的負債,以及之後到期的49400萬人民幣的負債。然而,該公司有18.2億人民幣的現金和12個月內到期的15.6億人民幣的應收賬款。因此,其負債超過了其現金和(短期)應收賬款的總和26.9億人民幣。
Since publicly traded Jason Furniture (Hangzhou)Ltd shares are worth a total of CN¥18.4b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Jason Furniture (Hangzhou)Ltd also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
由於顧家家居(杭州)有限公司公開交易的股票總值184億人民幣,因此這種水平的負債似乎不太可能構成重大威脅。話雖如此,顯然我們應繼續監測其資產負債表,以防情況惡化。儘管它確實有值得注意的負債,但顧家家居(杭州)有限公司的現金多於債務,所以我們相當有信心它能安全地管理其債務。
And we also note warmly that Jason Furniture (Hangzhou)Ltd grew its EBIT by 15% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Jason Furniture (Hangzhou)Ltd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
我們還熱心地指出,顧家家居(杭州)有限公司去年的EBIt增長了15%,使其更容易處理債務負擔。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表上了解債務的大部分情況。但最終,是未來的盈利,而不是其他任何因素,將決定顧家家居(杭州)有限公司能否保持健康的資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份免費報告,顯示分析師的利潤預測。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Jason Furniture (Hangzhou)Ltd has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. In the last three years, Jason Furniture (Hangzhou)Ltd's free cash flow amounted to 28% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
最後,一家公司只能用冰冷的現金償還債務,而不是會計利潤。雖然顧家家居(杭州)有限公司的資產負債表上有淨現金,但值得一看的是其將EBIT轉化爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或消耗)現金的速度。在過去三年中,顧家家居(杭州)有限公司的自由現金流佔其EBIt的28%,低於我們的預期。這種弱勢的現金轉化使其更難處理負債。
Summing Up
總之
While Jason Furniture (Hangzhou)Ltd does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥728.3m. And it also grew its EBIT by 15% over the last year. So we don't have any problem with Jason Furniture (Hangzhou)Ltd's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Jason Furniture (Hangzhou)Ltd (including 1 which is a bit concerning) .
儘管顧家家居(杭州)有更多的負債而不是流動資產,但它也有人民幣72830萬的淨現金。過去一年,它的EBIt增長了15%。所以我們對顧家家居(杭州)利用債務沒有任何問題。當你分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的地方。但最終,每家公司都可能存在超越資產負債表之外的風險。爲此,您應該了解我們在顧家家居(杭州)發現的2個警示信號(其中1個有點令人擔憂)。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,立即發現我們獨家的淨現金增長股票列表。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。