Changjiang Publishing & MediaLtd (SHSE:600757) Could Easily Take On More Debt
Changjiang Publishing & MediaLtd (SHSE:600757) Could Easily Take On More Debt
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Changjiang Publishing & Media Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600757) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
當霍華德·馬克斯說到這一點時,他說,與其擔心股價的波動性,不如擔心永久性損失的可能性...而我所認識的每位實際投資者都會擔心這一點。 當您審查一家公司的風險時,考慮到它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲往往在一家企業倒閉時會涉及債務。我們可以看到長江出版傳媒有限公司(SHSE:600757)在經營中確實使用了債務。 但股東們應該擔心它的債務使用嗎?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務帶來了什麼風險?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
當企業無法通過自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格籌集資金時,債務和其他負債變得有風險。 在最壞的情況下,如果企業無法償還債權人,公司可能會破產。 雖然這並不常見,但我們經常看到負債累累的公司永久性地稀釋股東,因爲貸款人強迫他們以困境價格籌集資金。 當然,許多公司使用債務資助增長,沒有任何負面影響。 考慮企業使用多少債務時,首先要做的是查看它的現金和債務。
What Is Changjiang Publishing & MediaLtd's Net Debt?
長江出版傳媒有限公司的淨債務是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 Changjiang Publishing & MediaLtd had debt of CN¥307.6m, up from none in one year. But it also has CN¥3.57b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥3.26b net cash.
下面的圖片,您可以點擊查看更詳細信息,顯示截至2024年6月,長江出版傳媒有限公司的債務爲30760萬人民幣,比一年前增加了。 但它還有35.7億人民幣的現金來抵消這筆債務,意味着它有32.6億人民幣的淨現金。
A Look At Changjiang Publishing & MediaLtd's Liabilities
查看長江出版傳媒有限公司的負債情況
The latest balance sheet data shows that Changjiang Publishing & MediaLtd had liabilities of CN¥3.78b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥159.0m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥3.57b in cash and CN¥1.53b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥1.15b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,長江出版傳媒有限公司有378億人民幣的應付短期債務,以及之後到期的15900萬人民幣的應付長期債務。與此相抵,公司有357億人民幣的現金和153億人民幣的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,實際上擁有115億人民幣更多的流動資產比總負債。
This surplus suggests that Changjiang Publishing & MediaLtd has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that Changjiang Publishing & MediaLtd has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
這種盈餘表明,長江出版傳媒有限公司的資產負債表保守,可能會毫不費力地清償債務。簡單來說,長江出版傳媒有限公司有比債務更多的現金,可以安全地管理債務。
Another good sign is that Changjiang Publishing & MediaLtd has been able to increase its EBIT by 24% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Changjiang Publishing & MediaLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
另一個好兆頭是,長江出版傳媒有限公司在過去12個月內EBIT增長了24%,這使得償還債務變得更加容易。在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要重點關注的領域。但長江出版傳媒有限公司的盈利將會影響資產負債表未來的情況。因此,如果您想更了解其盈利情況,不妨查看其長期盈利趨勢圖表。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Changjiang Publishing & MediaLtd has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Happily for any shareholders, Changjiang Publishing & MediaLtd actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
最後,一家企業需要有自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤並不能解決這個問題。雖然長江出版傳媒有限公司的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得看一下其將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解它是如何迅速積累(或流失)現金餘額的。令股東們高興的是,長江出版傳媒有限公司過去三年的自由現金流比EBIT更多。這種強勁的現金轉化能力讓我們像在Daft Punk演唱會上踩點般激動。
Summing Up
總之
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Changjiang Publishing & MediaLtd has net cash of CN¥3.26b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥483m, being 136% of its EBIT. So we don't think Changjiang Publishing & MediaLtd's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Changjiang Publishing & MediaLtd that you should be aware of.
儘管我們理解投資者對債務感到擔憂,但您應該記住長江出版傳媒有32.6億人民幣的淨現金,以及比負債更多的流動資產。而且,它以48300萬人民幣的自由現金流令我們印象深刻,相當於其EBIt的136%。因此,我們認爲長江出版傳媒的債務使用並不具有風險。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是明顯的起點。但最終,每家公司都可能存在超越資產負債表之外的風險。例如,我們已經爲長江出版傳媒確定了1個警示信號,您應該注意。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。
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