Is Hebei Changshan Biochemical Pharmaceutical (SZSE:300255) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Hebei Changshan Biochemical Pharmaceutical (SZSE:300255) Using Too Much Debt?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Hebei Changshan Biochemical Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300255) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
伯克希爾哈撤威的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理呂立在說'最大的投資風險不是價格波動,而是您是否會遭受永久性資本損失'時毫不掩飾。當我們考慮一家公司有多大風險時,我們總是喜歡看其債務使用情況,因爲債務過載可能導致滅頂之災。和許多其他公司一樣,常山藥業(SZSE:300255)利用了債務。但股東們應該擔心它的債務使用嗎?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務帶來了什麼風險?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
債務支持企業直到企業無法償還債務,要麼通過新的資本,要麼通過自由現金流。在最糟糕的情況下,如果企業無法償還債權人的債務,它可能會破產。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常看到負債的公司因貸方強制它們以不利價格募集資本而導致股東永久稀釋。話雖這樣說,最常見的情況是企業合理地管理它的債務,使其對自己有利。考慮企業使用債務量時,要做的第一件事是查看其現金和債務。
How Much Debt Does Hebei Changshan Biochemical Pharmaceutical Carry?
常山藥業到底揹負了多少債務?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Hebei Changshan Biochemical Pharmaceutical had CN¥2.28b of debt in June 2024, down from CN¥2.64b, one year before. On the flip side, it has CN¥338.8m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥1.94b.
您可以點擊下面的圖表查看歷史數字,但它顯示常山藥業於2024年6月有22.8億人民幣的債務,比一年前的26.4億人民幣有所減少。另一方面,它有33880萬人民幣現金,導致淨債務約爲19.4億人民幣。
How Healthy Is Hebei Changshan Biochemical Pharmaceutical's Balance Sheet?
常山藥業的資產負債表很健康嗎?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hebei Changshan Biochemical Pharmaceutical had liabilities of CN¥2.33b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥688.9m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥338.8m and CN¥404.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥2.28b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
我們可以從最近的資產負債表上看到,常山藥業的負債中有23.3億人民幣到期,而超過一年到期的負債爲68890萬人民幣。另一方面,它的現金爲33880萬人民幣,一年內到期的應收賬款爲40410萬人民幣。因此,它的負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款的組合多了22.8億人民幣。
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Hebei Changshan Biochemical Pharmaceutical has a market capitalization of CN¥9.16b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Hebei Changshan Biochemical Pharmaceutical will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
雖然這看起來很多,但由於常山藥業的市值爲91.6億人民幣,因此在需要時通過增加資本可能加強其資產負債表。然而,仍值得密切關注其償債能力。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中最了解債務。但不能孤立地看待債務;因爲常山藥業需要收入來償還債務。因此,在考慮債務時,看收入趨勢絕對是值得的。單擊此處查看交互快照。
In the last year Hebei Changshan Biochemical Pharmaceutical had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 42%, to CN¥1.2b. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
在過去一年,常山藥業在利息和稅前虧損,並實際收入下降了42%達到12億人民幣。這讓我們感到非常緊張,至少可以這麼說。
Caveat Emptor
買方自負。
While Hebei Changshan Biochemical Pharmaceutical's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping CN¥1.0b. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of CN¥1.1b into a profit. So to be blunt we do think it is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Hebei Changshan Biochemical Pharmaceutical is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
雖然常山藥業營業收入的下降讓人倍感失望,但可以說其息稅前利潤(EBIT)的虧損更加不可取。其EBIT虧損高達10億人民幣。當我們看到這一點並回顧其資產負債表上的負債,相對現金,我們認爲公司有債務不明智。坦率地說,我們認爲資產負債表遠未做好準備,儘管隨着時間的推移,情況可能會好轉。如果它將過去12個月的虧損11億人民幣變成利潤,我們會感到更加放心。因此,坦率地說,我們認爲它存在風險。在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是重點關注的領域。然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。請注意,根據我們的投資分析,常山藥業展示出了2個警示標誌,您應該知道...
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
說到底,有時候更容易集中精力關注根本不需要債務的公司。讀者可以免費訪問零淨債務增長股票列表。
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