Despite an already strong run, Youkeshu Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300209) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 33% in the last year.
Although its price has surged higher, Youkeshu TechnologyLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.4x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Software industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 4.4x and even P/S above 7x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
What Does Youkeshu TechnologyLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
For instance, Youkeshu TechnologyLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Youkeshu TechnologyLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Youkeshu TechnologyLtd would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 46%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 90% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 26% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we are not surprised that Youkeshu TechnologyLtd is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
What Does Youkeshu TechnologyLtd's P/S Mean For Investors?
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Youkeshu TechnologyLtd's P/S close to the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
It's no surprise that Youkeshu TechnologyLtd maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Youkeshu TechnologyLtd you should know about.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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