Hytera Communications Corporation Limited (SZSE:002583) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 37% share price jump in the last month. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 13% over that time.
Although its price has surged higher, Hytera Communications may still look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.6x, considering almost half of all companies in the Communications industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 3.6x and even P/S higher than 6x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.
How Has Hytera Communications Performed Recently?
Hytera Communications could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
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Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Hytera Communications?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Hytera Communications would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 12%. The latest three year period has also seen a 17% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 15% as estimated by the dual analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 41% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we can see why Hytera Communications is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Bottom Line On Hytera Communications' P/S
Hytera Communications' recent share price jump still sees fails to bring its P/S alongside the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've established that Hytera Communications maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Hytera Communications, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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