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SEC Electric Machinery (SHSE:603988) Investors Are up 25% in the Past Week, but Earnings Have Declined Over the Last Five Years

SEC Electric Machinery (SHSE:603988) Investors Are up 25% in the Past Week, but Earnings Have Declined Over the Last Five Years

中电电机(SHSE:603988)的投资者在上周上涨了25%,但在过去五年里收益下降了。
Simply Wall St ·  09/25 00:08

Stock pickers are generally looking for stocks that will outperform the broader market. Buying under-rated businesses is one path to excess returns. For example, the SEC Electric Machinery Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603988) share price is up 44% in the last 5 years, clearly besting the market decline of around 2.6% (ignoring dividends).

股票选择者一般正在寻找能够跑赢整体市场的股票。购买被低估的业务是获取超额回报的一种途径。例如,中电电机股份有限公司(SHSE:603988)的股价在过去5年中上涨了44%,明显优于市场下跌约2.6%(忽略分红派息)。

On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.

在稳定的七天表现之后,让我们看看公司的基本面对长期股东回报的影响。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

虽然一些人仍然在教授高效市场假说,但已经证明市场是过度反应的动态系统,投资者不总是理性的。一种有缺陷但合理的评估公司情绪变化的方法是比较每股收益 (EPS) 与股价。

During five years of share price growth, SEC Electric Machinery actually saw its EPS drop 33% per year.

在五年的股价增长过程中,中电电机实际上看到每年EPS下降了33%。

Essentially, it doesn't seem likely that investors are focused on EPS. Because earnings per share don't seem to match up with the share price, we'll take a look at other metrics instead.

基本上,投资者似乎并未关注每股收益。因为每股收益似乎与股价不匹配,所以我们将查看其他指标。

We doubt the modest 0.4% dividend yield is attracting many buyers to the stock. In contrast revenue growth of 4.9% per year is probably viewed as evidence that SEC Electric Machinery is growing, a real positive. It's quite possible that management are prioritizing revenue growth over EPS growth at the moment.

我们怀疑仅有0.4%的股息率吸引不了多少买家来购买这支股票。相比之下,每年4.9%的营业收入增长可能被视为中电电机正在成长的证据,这是一个真正的利好。很可能管理层目前优先考虑的是营业收入增长,而不是每股收益增长。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了收益和营收随时间变化的情况(如果你点击图像,可以看到更多细节):

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SHSE:603988 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 25th 2024
SHSE:603988收益和营收增长2024年9月25日

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

你可以在这个免费的互动图表中看到它的资产负债表如何随着时间的推移而加强(或削弱)。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of SEC Electric Machinery, it has a TSR of 59% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

对于任何一支股票,考虑总股东回报以及股价回报是很重要的。TSR包括任何分拆或折价增资的价值,以及任何分红,基于这样一个假设:分红被再投资。因此,对于那些支付慷慨分红的公司,TSR往往比股价回报高得多。就中电电机而言,过去5年的TSR为59%。这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报。毫无疑问,股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种背离!

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

It's nice to see that SEC Electric Machinery shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 44% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 10% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand SEC Electric Machinery better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that SEC Electric Machinery is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those make us uncomfortable...

很高兴看到中电电机股东在过去一年中获得了总股东回报率为44%。当然,这包括股息。由于一年的股东总回报率优于五年的股东总回报率(后者为每年10%),似乎股票的表现在最近有所改善。持乐观态度的人可能会将最近股东总回报率的改善视为业务本身随着时间的推移而变得更好。跟踪股价表现长期来看总是很有趣。但要更好地了解中电电机,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。尽管如此,请注意,根据我们的投资分析,中电电机显示出4个警示信号,其中有2个让我们感到不舒服......

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

当然,您可能在其他地方找到一家出色的企业进行投资。因此,请查看我们预计将实现盈利增长的公司的免费列表。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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