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Here's Why We're Not Too Worried About Tectonic Therapeutic's (NASDAQ:TECX) Cash Burn Situation

Here's Why We're Not Too Worried About Tectonic Therapeutic's (NASDAQ:TECX) Cash Burn Situation

這就是爲什麼我們對納斯達克公司Tectonic Therapeutic(納斯達克: TECX)的現金燃燒情況並不太擔心
Simply Wall St ·  09/25 07:56

We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. But while history lauds those rare successes, those that fail are often forgotten; who remembers Pets.com?

我們可以很容易理解爲什麼投資者被無利可圖的公司所吸引。例如,儘管軟件即服務業務Salesforce.com在增加經常性收入的同時虧損了多年,但如果你自2005年以來持有股票,你確實會做得很好。但是,儘管歷史稱讚這些罕見的成功,但失敗的成功往往被遺忘;誰還記得 Pets.com?

So, the natural question for Tectonic Therapeutic (NASDAQ:TECX) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

因此,對於Tectonic Therapeutic(納斯達克股票代碼:TECX)股東來說,自然而然的問題是他們是否應該擔心其現金消耗率。就本文而言,現金消耗是指無利可圖的公司每年花費現金爲其增長提供資金的比率;其自由現金流爲負。首先,我們將將其現金消耗與現金儲備進行比較,以計算其現金流量。

How Long Is Tectonic Therapeutic's Cash Runway?

Tectonic Therapeutic 的現金流有多長?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. When Tectonic Therapeutic last reported its June 2024 balance sheet in August 2024, it had zero debt and cash worth US$185m. In the last year, its cash burn was US$43m. Therefore, from June 2024 it had 4.3 years of cash runway. A runway of this length affords the company the time and space it needs to develop the business. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

公司的現金流是通過其現金儲備除以現金消耗來計算的。當Tectonic Therapeutic上次於2024年8月公佈其2024年6月資產負債表時,其債務爲零,現金價值1.85億美元。去年,其現金消耗爲4300萬美元。因此,從2024年6月起,它的現金流爲4.3年。如此長度的跑道爲公司提供了發展業務所需的時間和空間。下圖顯示了其現金餘額在過去幾年中的變化。

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NasdaqGM:TECX Debt to Equity History September 25th 2024
NasdaqGM: TECX 債券與股本的比率歷史記錄 2024 年 9 月 25 日

How Is Tectonic Therapeutic's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

Tectonic Therapeutic 的現金消耗如何隨着時間的推移而變化?

Tectonic Therapeutic didn't record any revenue over the last year, indicating that it's an early stage company still developing its business. Nonetheless, we can still examine its cash burn trajectory as part of our assessment of its cash burn situation. With the cash burn rate up 23% in the last year, it seems that the company is ratcheting up investment in the business over time. However, the company's true cash runway will therefore be shorter than suggested above, if spending continues to increase. Clearly, however, the crucial factor is whether the company will grow its business going forward. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.

去年,Tectonic Therapeutical沒有錄得任何收入,這表明它是一家處於早期階段的公司,仍在發展業務。儘管如此,作爲評估其現金消耗情況的一部分,我們仍然可以研究其現金消耗軌跡。去年的現金消耗率上升了23%,隨着時間的推移,該公司似乎正在加大對該業務的投資。但是,如果支出繼續增加,該公司的實際現金流將比上述建議短。但是,顯然,關鍵因素是該公司未來是否會發展其業務。出於這個原因,看看我們的分析師對公司的預測很有意義。

How Hard Would It Be For Tectonic Therapeutic To Raise More Cash For Growth?

構造療法籌集更多資金促進增長會有多難?

Given its cash burn trajectory, Tectonic Therapeutic shareholders may wish to consider how easily it could raise more cash, despite its solid cash runway. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.

鑑於其現金消耗軌跡,Tectonic Therapeutic的股東不妨考慮儘管現金流穩健,但它能多麼容易地籌集更多現金。發行新股或承擔債務是上市公司爲其業務籌集更多資金的最常見方式。通常,企業會自行出售新股以籌集現金和推動增長。通過觀察公司相對於其市值的現金消耗,我們可以深入了解如果公司需要籌集足夠的現金來彌補下一年的現金消耗,股東會被稀釋多少。

Since it has a market capitalisation of US$308m, Tectonic Therapeutic's US$43m in cash burn equates to about 14% of its market value. Given that situation, it's fair to say the company wouldn't have much trouble raising more cash for growth, but shareholders would be somewhat diluted.

由於市值爲3.08億美元,Tectonic Therapeution的4300萬美元現金消耗相當於其市值的約14%。鑑於這種情況,可以公平地說,該公司籌集更多現金以促進增長不會遇到太大麻煩,但股東會受到一定程度的削弱。

So, Should We Worry About Tectonic Therapeutic's Cash Burn?

那麼,我們是否應該擔心Tectonic Therapeution的現金消耗?

As you can probably tell by now, we're not too worried about Tectonic Therapeutic's cash burn. For example, we think its cash runway suggests that the company is on a good path. While its increasing cash burn wasn't great, the other factors mentioned in this article more than make up for weakness on that measure. Considering all the factors discussed in this article, we're not overly concerned about the company's cash burn, although we do think shareholders should keep an eye on how it develops. On another note, we conducted an in-depth investigation of the company, and identified 3 warning signs for Tectonic Therapeutic (2 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

正如你現在可能知道的那樣,我們並不太擔心Tectonic Therapeution的現金消耗。例如,我們認爲其現金流表明該公司走上了一條不錯的道路。儘管其現金消耗的增加並不理想,但本文中提到的其他因素足以彌補該指標的弱點。考慮到本文中討論的所有因素,儘管我們確實認爲股東應該關注公司的發展情況,但我們對公司的現金消耗並不過於擔憂。另一方面,我們對該公司進行了深入調查,發現了Tectonic Therapeution的3個警告信號(2個不容忽視!)在這裏投資之前,您應該注意這一點。

Of course Tectonic Therapeutic may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

當然,Tectonic Therapeutic可能不是最好的買入股票。因此,你可能希望看到這份擁有高股本回報率的公司的免費集合,或者這份內部所有權高的股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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