Mortgage Demand Soars As Fed Interest Rate Cut Fuels Housing Market Revival: 'Next Spring Could See A Real Rebound'
Mortgage Demand Soars As Fed Interest Rate Cut Fuels Housing Market Revival: 'Next Spring Could See A Real Rebound'
American homeowners and prospective buyers had been biding their time, waiting for a decisive move from the Federal Reserve to reignite the mortgage market.
美国的房主和潜在买家一直在等待美联储做出决定性举措,以重振抵押贷款市场。
That moment came on Sept. 18, when the Fed's large and unexpected 50-basis-point rate cut—bringing the target range to 4.75%-5%—opened the floodgates for mortgage refinancing and home purchases.
那个时刻出现在9月18日,当美联储大幅意外降息50个基点,将目标利率区间降至4.75%-5%,打开了抵押再融资和购房的闸门。
According to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), applications jumped 11% in the week ending Sept. 20, building on the previous week's 14.2% surge and pushing activity to its highest level since June 2022.
根据抵押贷款银行家协会(MBA)的数据,在截至9月20日的一周内,申请量大幅增长了11%,延续了上周14.2%的激增,并推动了活动量达到2022年6月以来的最高水平。
The spike in demand has closely followed the broader trend in benchmark mortgage rates. The average rate on a 30-year fixed — often the go-to option for American homebuyers — fell to a two-year low of 6.13%.
需求激增紧随基准抵押贷款利率的整体趋势。30年期固定利率贷款的平均利率(通常是美国买家首选)跌至6.13%的两年低位。
Refinancing Boom: Time To Seize Mortgage Moment
再融资繁荣:抓住抵押贷款时机
The surge of activity was particularly elevated in refinancing, which had been dormant amid years of high borrowing costs.
活动激增尤其在再融资中高企,这一领域在多年高借贷成本的困境中一直处于沉寂状态。
Refinancing applications soared by 20% last week, as homeowners moved quickly to lock in lower rates and cut their monthly mortgage payments.
上周再融资申请激增20%,房主们迅速采取行动锁定更低的利率,降低每月的抵押贷款金额。
The refinance application index has rallied to levels last seen in late March 2022. Lower mortgage rates can directly translate into lower monthly payments for millions of Americans, making refinancing an appealing option. For example, a homeowner with a $300,000 loan at a 7% rate could save around $300 per month if they refinance into a 6% loan.
再融资申请指数已经大幅反弹至2022年3月底以来的水平。较低的抵押贷款利率可以直接转化为数百万美国人的较低月供,使再融资成为一种吸引人的选择。例如,一个拥有70万美元贷款并以7%利率还款的房主,如果再融资至6%利率,每月可节省大约300美元。
Historically, periods of falling interest rates have coincided with stronger home-buying activity, and this time appears to be no different.
历史上,利率下降期往往与更强劲的购房活动同时发生,而这一次似乎也不例外。
"Mortgage rates likely had this cut — and this expected rate path — priced in, and lower mortgage rates, now close to 6%, have resulted in much more refinance and some additional purchase activity in recent weeks," said Mike Fratantoni, MBA's senior vice president and chief economist.
“房贷利率可能已经反应了这一降息措施,以及预期的利率路径,目前接近6%的较低房贷利率已经导致了近几周更多的再融资和一些额外的购房活动,” MBA高级副总裁兼首席经济学家迈克·弗兰坦托尼(Mike Fratantoni)表示。
"If mortgage rates remain near these levels, it will support a stronger-than-typical fall housing market, and next spring could see a real rebound in activity," he added.
“如果房贷利率保持在这一水平附近,将有助于支撑一个比平时更强劲的秋季房地产市场,明年春季可能会看到活动的真正反弹,”他补充道。
The Vanguard Real Estate ETF (NYSE:VNQ), which tracks the broader real estate sector, was flat in premarket trading following the news. Similarly, the iShares Residential and Multisector Real Estate ETF (NYSE:REZ), which has more direct exposure to the housing market, held steady.
跟踪更广泛的房地产板块的万得(Vanguard)房地产信托指数etf-vanguard (VNQ)在消息发布后的盘前交易中持平。同样,跟房地产市场有更直接关联的黑石(iShares)住宅及多板块房地产etf(REZ)保持稳定。
Meanwhile, the VanEck Mortgage REIT Income ETF (NYSE:MORT) saw a slight uptick of 0.5%.
与此同时,万得(VanEck)按揭房地产信托收入etf(MORT)看到0.5%的小幅上涨。
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