share_log

The Past Five-year Earnings Decline for Zhejiang Orient Financial Holdings Group (SHSE:600120) Likely Explains Shareholders Long-term Losses

The Past Five-year Earnings Decline for Zhejiang Orient Financial Holdings Group (SHSE:600120) Likely Explains Shareholders Long-term Losses

浙江东方证券控股集团(SHSE:600120)过去五年的盈利下降可能解释了股东的长期损失
Simply Wall St ·  09/25 22:18

While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the Zhejiang Orient Financial Holdings Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600120) share price up 15% in a single quarter. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been less than pleasing. In fact, the share price is down 16%, which falls well short of the return you could get by buying an index fund.

尽管这可能不足以满足一些股东的要求,但我们认为浙江东方证券控股集团有限公司(SHSE:600120)的股价在一个季度内上涨了15%是件好事。但这并不能改变过去五年的回报令人不满的事实。实际上,股价下跌了16%,远远不及购买指数基金可以获得的回报。

While the last five years has been tough for Zhejiang Orient Financial Holdings Group shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

尽管过去五年对浙江东方证券控股集团的股东来说是艰难的,但过去一周显示出了一些希望的迹象。所以让我们看看长期的基本面情况,看看它们是否是导致负回报的原因。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

市场有时无疑是高效的,但价格并不总是反映基础业务表现。 一种检查市场情绪如何随时间改变的方法是查看公司的股价与每股收益(EPS)之间的互动。

During the five years over which the share price declined, Zhejiang Orient Financial Holdings Group's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 17% each year. The share price decline of 3% per year isn't as bad as the EPS decline. So the market may previously have expected a drop, or else it expects the situation will improve. The high P/E ratio of 45.51 suggests that shareholders believe earnings will grow in the years ahead.

在股价下跌的五年里,浙江东方证券控股集团的每股收益(EPS)每年下降了17%。每年股价下跌3%并不像每股收益下降那么糟糕。因此,市场可能之前已经预期会下降,或者它预期情况将会改善。45.51的高市盈率表明股东相信未来几年收益将会增长。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

该公司的每股收益(随时间的推移)如下图所示(单击可查看确切数字)。

big
SHSE:600120 Earnings Per Share Growth September 26th 2024
SHSE:600120每股收益增长2024年9月26日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. This free interactive report on Zhejiang Orient Financial Holdings Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

值得注意的是,与类似规模的公司相比,CEO的薪酬要低一些。关注CEO的薪酬是值得的,但更重要的问题是公司是否能够实现多年的收益增长。如果你想进一步研究该股票,浙江东方的营业收入、营收和现金流的这份免费互动报告是一个很好的起点。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Zhejiang Orient Financial Holdings Group the TSR over the last 5 years was -11%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股价回报之外,投资者还应考虑总股东回报(TSR)。 TSR是一个考虑现金股利价值(假设任何收到的股利都被再投资)以及任何折价的增资和剥离价值的回报计算。因此,对于支付慷慨股利的公司,TSR通常比股价回报高得多。我们注意到,浙江东方在过去5年的TSR为-11%,比上述股价回报要好。公司支付的股利因此提高了总股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

We're pleased to report that Zhejiang Orient Financial Holdings Group shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 3.9% over one year. That's including the dividend. That certainly beats the loss of about 2% per year over the last half decade. The long term loss makes us cautious, but the short term TSR gain certainly hints at a brighter future. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Zhejiang Orient Financial Holdings Group , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

我们很高兴地报告说,浙江东方的股东在过去一年里获得了总股东回报率为3.9%。 包括股息在内。 这绝对比过去半个十年每年约2%的亏损要好。 长期的亏损使我们谨慎,但短期的TSR增益确实暗示着更加光明的未来。 虽然考虑市场条件对股价的不同影响是值得的,但有其他更重要的因素。 例如,投资风险始终存在。 我们已经确定了浙江东方存在的3个警告信号,并理解它们应该是你投资过程的一部分。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果您愿意查看另一家公司(具有潜在的更好财务状况),请不要错过这个免费的公司列表,证明它们可以增长收益。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发