Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Top Resource Energy Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300332) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

What Is Top Resource Energy's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, Top Resource Energy had CN¥1.48b of debt, up from CN¥1.35b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has CN¥1.29b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥188.2m.

How Strong Is Top Resource Energy's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Top Resource Energy had liabilities of CN¥3.29b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥1.06b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.29b as well as receivables valued at CN¥924.5m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥2.13b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Top Resource Energy has a market capitalization of CN¥4.12b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While Top Resource Energy's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.35 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 6.3 times last year does give us pause. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. It is just as well that Top Resource Energy's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 50% over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Top Resource Energy can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Considering the last three years, Top Resource Energy actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Our View

To be frank both Top Resource Energy's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at managing its debt, based on its EBITDA,; that's encouraging. It's also worth noting that Top Resource Energy is in the Gas Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Top Resource Energy's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with Top Resource Energy , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.