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As Jangho Group (SHSE:601886) Rises 8.1% This Past Week, Investors May Now Be Noticing the Company's One-year Earnings Growth

As Jangho Group (SHSE:601886) Rises 8.1% This Past Week, Investors May Now Be Noticing the Company's One-year Earnings Growth

隨着江河集團(SHSE:601886)上漲了8.1%,投資者現在可能會注意到該公司一年來的盈利增長。
Simply Wall St ·  09/25 22:36

Investors can approximate the average market return by buying an index fund. When you buy individual stocks, you can make higher profits, but you also face the risk of under-performance. For example, the Jangho Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601886) share price is down 39% in the last year. That's disappointing when you consider the market declined 14%. Notably, shareholders had a tough run over the longer term, too, with a drop of 33% in the last three years. Contrary to the longer term story, the last month has been good for stockholders, with a share price gain of 8.8%.

投資者可以通過購買指數基金來近似平均市場回報。當您購買個別股票時,您可以獲得更高的利潤,但也面臨着未能達到預期的風險。例如,江河集團股份有限公司(SHSE:601886)的股價在過去一年下跌了39%。考慮到市場下跌了14%,這是令人失望的。值得注意的是,股東在長期內也經歷了艱難的時期,在過去三年中跌幅達33%。與長期趨勢相反,上個月股東們的表現不錯,股價上漲了8.8%。

Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last year, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.

雖然過去一週對股東來說更加令人放心,但他們在過去一年仍處於虧損狀態,因此讓我們看看掛鉤於公司基本業務的因素是否導致了下降。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

雖然一些人仍然在教授高效市場假說,但已經證明市場是過度反應的動態系統,投資者不總是理性的。一種有缺陷但合理的評估公司情緒變化的方法是比較每股收益 (EPS) 與股價。

During the unfortunate twelve months during which the Jangho Group share price fell, it actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 19%. Of course, the situation might betray previous over-optimism about growth.

在江河集團股價下跌的不幸的十二個月期間,其每股收益(EPS)實際上提高了19%。當然,這種情況可能暴露了先前對增長過於樂觀的情況。

It's surprising to see the share price fall so much, despite the improved EPS. So it's easy to justify a look at some other metrics.

儘管EPS有所改善,股價下跌了這麼多令人驚訝。因此,可以輕易地理解對其他一些指標進行研究的理由。

Jangho Group's dividend seems healthy to us, so we doubt that the yield is a concern for the market. The revenue trend doesn't seem to explain why the share price is down. Unless, of course, the market was expecting a revenue uptick.

江河集團的分紅派息對我們來說似乎健康,所以我們懷疑收益率是否是市場關注的焦點。營業收入趨勢似乎無法解釋股價下跌的原因。除非,市場原本期待營業收入會出現增長。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以看到以下收益和營收的變化情況(通過單擊圖像了解精確值)。

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SHSE:601886 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 26th 2024
SHSE:601886 盈利和營業收入增長 2024年9月26日

We know that Jangho Group has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Jangho Group will earn in the future (free profit forecasts).

我們知道江河集團近期改善了底線,但未來會帶來什麼呢?因此,查看分析師對江河集團未來盈利的預測是非常明智的(免費獲得盈利預測)。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Jangho Group's TSR for the last 1 year was -37%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

考慮對任何特定股票的總股東回報以及股價回報是很重要的。TSR結合了任何剝離或折價的資本籌措的價值,以及基於假設分紅再投資的任何股利。因此,對於支付豐厚分紅的公司,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。碰巧的是,江河集團過去1年的TSR爲-37%,超過了之前提到的股價回報。這在很大程度上是其分紅支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

We regret to report that Jangho Group shareholders are down 37% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 14%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 4% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Jangho Group better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Jangho Group that you should be aware of.

我們惋惜地通報,江河集團的股東今年下跌了37%(即使包括分紅派息在內)。不幸的是,這比整體市場下跌的14%更糟糕。 話雖如此,在熊市中一些股票被賣超是不可避免的。關鍵是要專注於基本面的發展。 令人遺憾的是,去年的表現結束了一段糟糕的運行,股東在過去五年裏每年面臨着總損失4%。 我們意識到羅斯柴爾德男爵曾說過投資者應該「在街上有血的時候買入」,但我們告誡投資者首先確保他們是在購買高質量的業務。 追蹤股價長期表現總是很有趣。但要更好地了解江河集團,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。 例如,我們已經確定了江河集團的2個警示信號,您應該注意。

But note: Jangho Group may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但請注意:江河集團可能不是最佳的股票購買選擇。 因此,請查看這份免費名單,其中包含過去盈利增長(以及進一步增長預測)的有趣公司。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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