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- 湖南艾华集团股份有限公司(SHSE:603989)可能比看起来更有风险
Hunan Aihua Group Co., Ltd (SHSE:603989) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks
Hunan Aihua Group Co., Ltd (SHSE:603989) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks
When close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 28x, you may consider Hunan Aihua Group Co., Ltd (SHSE:603989) as an attractive investment with its 19.6x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for Hunan Aihua Group as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Hunan Aihua Group's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 35% decrease to the company's bottom line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 41% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 125% during the coming year according to the sole analyst following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 36% growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Hunan Aihua Group's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Hunan Aihua Group currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Hunan Aihua Group you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Hunan Aihua Group. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
当中国近一半公司的市盈率(即“P/E”)超过28倍时,您可以考虑艾华集团股份有限公司(SHSE:603989)作为一个有吸引力的投资,因为它的市盈率为19.6倍。尽管如此,我们需要更深入地挖掘,以确定减少的P/E是否有合理的基础。
最近一段时间对于艾华集团并不是有利的,因为其盈利增长速度比大多数其他公司都快。看起来很多人都预计糟糕的盈利表现会持续下去,这就压制了P/E。如果您仍然喜欢这家公司,您希望其盈利轨迹在做出任何决定之前能够好转。或者至少,如果您计划在它不受青睐的时候买一些股票,您希望盈利下滑不会进一步恶化。

增长是否符合低市盈率?
人们固有地假设一家公司应该表现不佳,才能被视为像艾华集团这样的P/E市盈率合理。
回顾过去一年,公司的净利润下降了令人沮丧的35%。过去三年的情况也不容乐观,公司的每股收益总共下降了41%。因此,不幸的是,我们必须承认公司在增长收益方面做得并不好。
展望未来,根据唯一跟踪该公司的分析师预测,每股收益预计在未来一年内将增长125%。这似乎比广泛市场预测的36%增长要高得多。
鉴于此,湖南艾华集团的市盈率却低于绝大多数其他公司,这似乎很奇怪。显然,一些股东对预测表示怀疑,已接受明显较低的出售价格。
最终结论
仅凭市盈率来决定是否出售股票并不明智,但它可以是企业未来前景的实用指南。
我们已经确定目前湖南艾华集团的市盈率远低于预期,因为其预期增长高于整个市场。可能存在一些未观察到的威胁影响盈利,导致市盈率无法匹配积极前景。至少价格风险看起来非常低,但投资者似乎认为未来的收益可能会出现很大波动。
您应该始终考虑风险。譬如,我们已经发现湖南艾华集团存在2种预警信号,需要您知道。
您可能会找到比湖南艾华集团更好的投资。如果您想要一些可能的候选人选,请查看这份免费的有趣公司名单,这些公司在低市盈率交易(但已证明它们可以增长收益)。
对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Australia Limited提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Moomoo Securities Australia Limited, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
风险及免责提示
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Australia Limited提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Moomoo Securities Australia Limited, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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