Suzhou Jinfu Technology (SZSE:300128) Is Carrying A Fair Bit Of Debt
Suzhou Jinfu Technology (SZSE:300128) Is Carrying A Fair Bit Of Debt
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Suzhou Jinfu Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300128) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
当大卫·伊本说'波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。'时,他说得很好。因此,显然在考虑任何给定股票的风险时,您需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务可能会拖垮一家公司。需要注意的是,SZSE:300128持有债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务创造了多少风险?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
债务带来了什么风险?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但如果一家企业无法偿还债务,那么它将受到债权人的摆布。如果情况变得非常糟糕,债权人可以接管企业。然而,更常见的(但仍然痛苦的)情况是,它必须以低价筹集新的股权资本,从而永久稀释股东。当然,负债的好处在于,它通常代表廉价的资本,尤其是在取代公司的稀释并具有以高回报率再投资能力时。当我们审查债务水平时,我们首先考虑现金和债务水平。
What Is Suzhou Jinfu Technology's Net Debt?
锦富技术的净债务是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Suzhou Jinfu Technology had CN¥1.42b of debt, an increase on CN¥970.1m, over one year. However, it also had CN¥482.5m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥939.7m.
您可以点击下面的图表查看历史数据,但截至2024年6月,锦富技术的债务为14.2亿人民币,比一年前增加了97010万人民币。然而,它也有48250万人民币的现金,因此其净债务为93970万人民币。
How Healthy Is Suzhou Jinfu Technology's Balance Sheet?
锦富技术的资产负债表状况如何?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Suzhou Jinfu Technology had liabilities of CN¥1.98b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥367.4m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥482.5m and CN¥823.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.04b.
根据最近披露的资产负债表,锦富技术的负债中,有1,980百万元在12个月内到期,而超过12个月到期的负债为367.4百万元。另一方面,公司拥有48.25百万元的现金和82.31百万元的应收账款,其中一年内到期。因此,其负债比现金和(短期)应收账款总和多104亿。
Suzhou Jinfu Technology has a market capitalization of CN¥4.57b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Suzhou Jinfu Technology will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
锦富技术的市值为45.7亿人民币,所以如果需要,它很可能会筹集资金来改善其资产负债表。但我们绝对要警惕迹象表明其债务带来了太多风险。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解最多关于债务的信息。但是你不能孤立地看待债务;因为锦富技术将需要盈利来偿还债务。所以如果你想了解更多关于其盈利的信息,不妨看看其长期盈利趋势的图表。
In the last year Suzhou Jinfu Technology wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 22%, to CN¥1.9b. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.
在过去一年里,锦富技术在息税前利润(EBIt)水平上没有盈利,但成功将营业收入增长了22%,达到了190亿人民币。股东们可能期待它能实现盈利。
Caveat Emptor
买方自负。
Even though Suzhou Jinfu Technology managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. Indeed, it lost CN¥189m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥664m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Suzhou Jinfu Technology (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.
尽管锦富技术成功地相当灵活地增长了其收入,但残酷的现实是,其在息税前利润(EBIt)上亏损。事实上,在EBIt水平上亏损了1.89亿人民币。当我们看到这一点,并回忆其资产负债表上的负债与现金的比例时,我们认为公司有任何债务是不明智的。坦率地说,我们认为资产负债表远未达到完全匹配的状态,尽管随着时间的推移可能会得到改善。另一个需要谨慎的原因是该公司在过去十二个月里负自由现金流失6.64亿人民币。因此,可以说我们认为该股票风险极高。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中最了解债务。然而,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表内 - 远非如此。例如,我们已经确定了锦富技术存在3个警告信号(其中1个我们并不满意),你应该注意。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
归根结底,专注于没有净债务的公司往往更好。您可以访问我们的特别列表,其中包括所有表现出盈利增长轨迹的公司。这是免费的。
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