Cinda Real Estate Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600657) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 31% after a shaky period beforehand. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 7.8% over the last year.
Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that Cinda Real Estate's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 24.8x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in China, where the median P/E ratio is around 28x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
Cinda Real Estate has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this respectable earnings growth might not be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Cinda Real Estate, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Cinda Real Estate's Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Cinda Real Estate would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 18%. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 60% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 36% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Cinda Real Estate is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Cinda Real Estate's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/E level with the market. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Cinda Real Estate revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Having said that, be aware Cinda Real Estate is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.