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What Zwsoft Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:688083) 25% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

What Zwsoft Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:688083) 25% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

中望软件股份有限公司(SHSE:688083)股价上涨25%,背后的故事你不知道
Simply Wall St ·  18:25

Zwsoft Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688083) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 25% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 36% in the last twelve months.

Since its price has surged higher, ZwsoftLtd may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 11x, since almost half of all companies in the Software industry in China have P/S ratios under 4.7x and even P/S lower than 2x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

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SHSE:688083 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 26th 2024

How Has ZwsoftLtd Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, ZwsoftLtd has been doing relatively well. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on ZwsoftLtd will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, ZwsoftLtd would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 26% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 65% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 22% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 21% per year, which is not materially different.

In light of this, it's curious that ZwsoftLtd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From ZwsoftLtd's P/S?

Shares in ZwsoftLtd have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Analysts are forecasting ZwsoftLtd's revenues to only grow on par with the rest of the industry, which has lead to the high P/S ratio being unexpected. When we see revenue growth that just matches the industry, we don't expect elevates P/S figures to remain inflated for the long-term. Unless the company can jump ahead of the rest of the industry in the short-term, it'll be a challenge to maintain the share price at current levels.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with ZwsoftLtd, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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