Nanhua Futures Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603093) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 9.0% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, Nanhua Futures may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15.6x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 28x and even P/E's higher than 53x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Nanhua Futures certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Nanhua Futures' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 33% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 205% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 36% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it odd that Nanhua Futures is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Nanhua Futures' P/E close to the market median. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Nanhua Futures revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current market expectations. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Nanhua Futures with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.