What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. In light of that, when we looked at Monalisa GroupLtd (SZSE:002918) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Monalisa GroupLtd is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.056 = CN¥324m ÷ (CN¥9.2b - CN¥3.4b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
Therefore, Monalisa GroupLtd has an ROCE of 5.6%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Building industry average of 7.7%.
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Monalisa GroupLtd compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Monalisa GroupLtd .
How Are Returns Trending?
In terms of Monalisa GroupLtd's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 15%, but since then they've fallen to 5.6%. And considering revenue has dropped while employing more capital, we'd be cautious. This could mean that the business is losing its competitive advantage or market share, because while more money is being put into ventures, it's actually producing a lower return - "less bang for their buck" per se.
In Conclusion...
From the above analysis, we find it rather worrisome that returns on capital and sales for Monalisa GroupLtd have fallen, meanwhile the business is employing more capital than it was five years ago. It should come as no surprise then that the stock has fallen 36% over the last five years, so it looks like investors are recognizing these changes. That being the case, unless the underlying trends revert to a more positive trajectory, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
Like most companies, Monalisa GroupLtd does come with some risks, and we've found 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.
While Monalisa GroupLtd isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.