Zhongyuan Bank (HKG:1216) Earnings and Shareholder Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for the Last Five Years, but the Stock Rises 5.1% This Past Week
Zhongyuan Bank (HKG:1216) Earnings and Shareholder Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for the Last Five Years, but the Stock Rises 5.1% This Past Week
Some stocks are best avoided. We really hate to see fellow investors lose their hard-earned money. Spare a thought for those who held Zhongyuan Bank Co., Ltd. (HKG:1216) for five whole years - as the share price tanked 74%. On the other hand the share price has bounced 5.1% over the last week. The buoyant market could have helped drive the share price pop, since stocks are up 7.8% in the same period.
有些股票最好避免。我们真的很不希望看到其他投资者亏掉他们辛辛苦苦赚来的钱。请为那些持有中原银行股份有限公司(HKG:1216)五年的投资者着想——因为股价下跌了74%。另一方面,股价在过去一周反弹了5.1%。市场繁荣可能帮助推动股价上涨,因为股票在同一时期上涨了7.8%。
Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last five years, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.
虽然过去一周股东的投资回报率有所缓解,但在过去五年中仍处于亏损状态,因此让我们看看这家公司的基本业务是否是导致下跌的原因。
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
虽然市场是一个强大的定价机制,但股价反映的不仅仅是企业的基本业绩,还有投资者的情绪。一个不完美但简单的方式来考虑公司市场意识的变化是比较每股收益(EPS)的变化和股价的变化。
During the five years over which the share price declined, Zhongyuan Bank's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 13% each year. This reduction in EPS is less than the 23% annual reduction in the share price. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past. The low P/E ratio of 4.16 further reflects this reticence.
在股价下跌的五年里,中原银行的每股收益(EPS)每年下降13%。这种EPS减少比股价每年下降的23%要少。因此,市场过去对这家业务太过自信。低的市盈率4.16进一步反映了这种犹豫。
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
该公司的每股收益(随时间的推移)如下图所示(单击可查看确切数字)。
This free interactive report on Zhongyuan Bank's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
如果您想进一步调查该股票,钟源银行的营收和现金流的这份免费互动报告是一个很好的开始。
A Different Perspective
不同的观点
While the broader market gained around 14% in the last year, Zhongyuan Bank shareholders lost 13%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. However, the loss over the last year isn't as bad as the 12% per annum loss investors have suffered over the last half decade. We would want clear information suggesting the company will grow, before taking the view that the share price will stabilize. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Zhongyuan Bank (at least 1 which is concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
尽管过去一年更广泛的市场上涨了约14%,钟源银行的股东却亏损了13%。然而,需要记住,即使是最好的股票有时也会在十二个月的时间内表现不如市场。然而,过去一年的损失并不像过去半个十年投资者遭受的每年12%的损失那么严重。在认为股价会稳定之前,我们需要明确的信息表明公司将会增长。我认为长期观察股价作为业绩的一种代理是非常有趣的。但要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,投资风险始终存在。我们已经发现钟源银行出现了2个警示信号(至少其中1个令人关切),了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果您愿意查看另一家公司(具有潜在的更好财务状况),请不要错过这个免费的公司列表,证明它们可以增长收益。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了当前在香港证券交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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