Hunan Zhenghong Science and Technology Develop Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000702) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 26% share price jump in the last month. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 4.5% over the last year.
Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Hunan Zhenghong Science and Technology DevelopLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.7x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Food industry is similar at about 1.4x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
What Does Hunan Zhenghong Science and Technology DevelopLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Hunan Zhenghong Science and Technology DevelopLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Hunan Zhenghong Science and Technology DevelopLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Hunan Zhenghong Science and Technology DevelopLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Hunan Zhenghong Science and Technology DevelopLtd's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 16%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 22% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 16% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Hunan Zhenghong Science and Technology DevelopLtd is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Hunan Zhenghong Science and Technology DevelopLtd's P/S
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Hunan Zhenghong Science and Technology DevelopLtd's P/S is back within range of the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our look at Hunan Zhenghong Science and Technology DevelopLtd revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Hunan Zhenghong Science and Technology DevelopLtd (at least 1 which doesn't sit too well with us), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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