Minmetals Capital Company Limited (SHSE:600390) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 36% share price jump in the last month. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 3.6% isn't as attractive.
Even after such a large jump in price, Minmetals Capital may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15.3x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 28x and even P/E's higher than 53x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Minmetals Capital has been very sluggish. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Minmetals Capital will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
Minmetals Capital's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 44%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 60% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 25% per year during the coming three years according to the lone analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 19% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we find it odd that Minmetals Capital is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
What We Can Learn From Minmetals Capital's P/E?
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Minmetals Capital's P/E close to the market median. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Minmetals Capital currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Minmetals Capital you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of Minmetals Capital's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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