It's not a stretch to say that Huatian Hotel Group Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:000428) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.9x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Hospitality industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 4.8x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
What Does Huatian Hotel GroupLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
The revenue growth achieved at Huatian Hotel GroupLtd over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to only keep up with the broader industry, which has keeping the P/S in line with expectations. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Huatian Hotel GroupLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Huatian Hotel GroupLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Huatian Hotel GroupLtd would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 24% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen a 6.0% overall rise in revenue, aided extensively by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it interesting that Huatian Hotel GroupLtd is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Huatian Hotel GroupLtd revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Huatian Hotel GroupLtd with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
If you're unsure about the strength of Huatian Hotel GroupLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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