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Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd (SHSE:600033) Shareholders Notch a 12% CAGR Over 3 Years, yet Earnings Have Been Shrinking

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 27 01:03

By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. Just take a look at Fujian Expressway Development Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600033), which is up 23%, over three years, soundly beating the market decline of 28% (not including dividends). On the other hand, the returns haven't been quite so good recently, with shareholders up just 9.2%, including dividends.

Since it's been a strong week for Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During the three years of share price growth, Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 0.9% per year.

Companies are not always focussed on EPS growth in the short term, and looking at how the share price has reacted, we don't think EPS is the most important metric for Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd at the moment. So other metrics may hold the key to understanding what is influencing investors.

You can only imagine how long term shareholders feel about the declining revenue trend (slipping at 4.5% per year). What's clear is that historic earnings and revenue aren't matching up with the share price action, very well. So you might have to dig deeper to get a grasp of the situation

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

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SHSE:600033 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 27th 2024

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd, it has a TSR of 41% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 9.2% over one year. And that does include the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 7%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd that you should be aware of.

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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