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The Past Three-year Earnings Decline for Shenzhen Jinjia GroupLtd (SZSE:002191) Likely Explains Shareholders Long-term Losses

The Past Three-year Earnings Decline for Shenzhen Jinjia GroupLtd (SZSE:002191) Likely Explains Shareholders Long-term Losses

深圳金嘉集團有限公司(SZSE:002191)過去三年的盈利下降可能解釋了股東的長期損失
Simply Wall St ·  09/27 03:09

Shenzhen Jinjia Group Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002191) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 11% in the last month. But that is small recompense for the exasperating returns over three years. Tragically, the share price declined 65% in that time. So it is really good to see an improvement. Perhaps the company has turned over a new leaf.

深圳勁嘉集團有限公司, Ltd.(深圳證券交易所:002191)股東應該很高興看到上個月股價上漲了11%。但這對於三年來的驚人回報來說微不足道。不幸的是,當時股價下跌了65%。因此,看到改善真是太好了。也許公司已經翻開了新的一頁。

Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last three years, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.

儘管過去一週令股東更加放心,但在過去三年中,他們仍處於虧損狀態,所以讓我們看看基礎業務是否是造成下降的原因。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

雖然市場是一種強大的定價機制,但股價反映了投資者的情緒,而不僅僅是潛在的業務表現。評估公司情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

During five years of share price growth, Shenzhen Jinjia GroupLtd moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. So given the share price is down it's worth checking some other metrics too.

在五年的股價增長中,深圳勁嘉集團有限公司從虧損轉爲盈利。這通常會被視爲利好,因此我們驚訝地看到股價下跌。因此,鑑於股價下跌,還值得檢查其他一些指標。

We note that the dividend seems healthy enough, so that probably doesn't explain the share price drop. On the other hand, the uninspired reduction in revenue, at 11% each year, may have shareholders ditching the stock. This could have some investors worried about the longer term growth potential (or lack thereof).

我們注意到,股息似乎足夠健康,因此這可能無法解釋股價下跌的原因。另一方面,收入無緣無故地減少每年11%,可能會導致股東拋棄該股。這可能會讓一些投資者擔心長期增長潛力(或缺乏增長潛力)。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下圖描述了收入和收入隨時間推移而發生的變化(點擊圖片即可顯示確切的數值)。

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SZSE:002191 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 27th 2024
SZSE: 002191 收益和收入增長 2024 年 9 月 27 日

We know that Shenzhen Jinjia GroupLtd has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Shenzhen Jinjia GroupLtd

我們知道深圳勁嘉集團有限公司最近提高了利潤,但是未來會怎樣?這份顯示分析師預測的免費報告應該可以幫助您對深圳勁嘉集團有限公司形成看法

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Shenzhen Jinjia GroupLtd the TSR over the last 3 years was -58%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。儘管股價回報率僅反映股價的變化,但股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設已進行再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。我們注意到,深圳勁嘉集團有限公司過去3年的股東總回報率爲-58%,好於上述股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While the broader market lost about 10% in the twelve months, Shenzhen Jinjia GroupLtd shareholders did even worse, losing 34% (even including dividends). Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 9% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Shenzhen Jinjia GroupLtd (at least 2 which shouldn't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

儘管整個市場在十二個月中下跌了約10%,但深圳勁嘉集團有限公司股東的表現甚至更糟,損失了34%(甚至包括股息)。話雖如此,在下跌的市場中,一些股票不可避免地會被超賣。關鍵是要密切關注基本發展。遺憾的是,去年的業績結束了糟糕的表現,股東在五年內每年面臨9%的總虧損。我們意識到羅斯柴爾德男爵曾說過,投資者應該 「在街頭流血時買入」,但我們警告說,投資者應首先確保他們購買的是高質量的企業。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,投資風險的幽靈無處不在。我們已經向深圳勁嘉集團有限公司確定了3個警告信號(至少有2個不容忽視),了解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想看看另一家公司——一家財務狀況可能優異的公司——那麼千萬不要錯過這份已經證明自己可以增加收益的公司的免費名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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