With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 1.5x in the Chemicals industry in the United States, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Avient Corporation's (NYSE:AVNT) P/S ratio, which comes in at about the same. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
What Does Avient's Recent Performance Look Like?
There hasn't been much to differentiate Avient's and the industry's retreating revenue lately. The P/S ratio is probably moderate because investors think the company's revenue trend will continue to follow the rest of the industry. If you still like the company, you'd want its revenue trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. At the very least, you'd be hoping that revenue doesn't accelerate downwards if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's not in favour.
Keen to find out how analysts think Avient's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Avient would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 4.0%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 13% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 4.7% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 3.6% growth , the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.
With this information, we can see why Avient is trading at a fairly similar P/S to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see average future growth and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.
What Does Avient's P/S Mean For Investors?
While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've seen that Avient maintains an adequate P/S seeing as its revenue growth figures match the rest of the industry. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement or deterioration in revenue isn't great enough to push P/S in a higher or lower direction. All things considered, if the P/S and revenue estimates contain no major shocks, then it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Avient (1 is a bit concerning) you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.