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China Resources Chemical Innovative Materials Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301090) Shares Fly 28% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 27 18:10

China Resources Chemical Innovative Materials Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301090) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 28% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 35% over that time.

Even after such a large jump in price, China Resources Chemical Innovative Materials' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Chemicals industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1.9x and even P/S above 4x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

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SZSE:301090 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 27th 2024

How China Resources Chemical Innovative Materials Has Been Performing

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, China Resources Chemical Innovative Materials' revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on China Resources Chemical Innovative Materials will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

China Resources Chemical Innovative Materials' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 9.4%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 35% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 3.3% as estimated by the sole analyst watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 23% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that China Resources Chemical Innovative Materials' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Final Word

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift China Resources Chemical Innovative Materials' P/S close to the industry median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As expected, our analysis of China Resources Chemical Innovative Materials' analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for China Resources Chemical Innovative Materials with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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