Zhejiang Semir Garment Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002563) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 26% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 6.7% in the last twelve months.
Even after such a large jump in price, Zhejiang Semir Garment may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.4x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 29x and even P/E's higher than 54x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
Zhejiang Semir Garment certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Zhejiang Semir Garment.
How Is Zhejiang Semir Garment's Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Zhejiang Semir Garment's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 14% last year. Still, lamentably EPS has fallen 13% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the eleven analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 10% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 19% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we can see why Zhejiang Semir Garment is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
Zhejiang Semir Garment's recent share price jump still sees its P/E sitting firmly flat on the ground. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Zhejiang Semir Garment's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Zhejiang Semir Garment you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Zhejiang Semir Garment, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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