Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company Ltd. (SHSE:603288) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 30% share price jump in the last month. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 15% is also fairly reasonable.
After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 28x, you may consider Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food as a stock to potentially avoid with its 40.6x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food has been doing quite well of late. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader market adversity, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food's Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any earnings per share growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Whilst it's an improvement, it wasn't enough to get the company out of the hole it was in, with earnings down 7.6% overall from three years ago. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 12% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 19% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we find it concerning that Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food's P/E
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food's P/E is getting right up there since its shares have risen strongly. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
Our examination of Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.