Gree Real Estate Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600185) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 31% share price jump in the last month. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 20% in the last twelve months.
Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Real Estate industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.8x, you may consider Gree Real EstateLtd as a stock probably not worth researching with its 2.3x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
What Does Gree Real EstateLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
The revenue growth achieved at Gree Real EstateLtd over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Gree Real EstateLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Gree Real EstateLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Gree Real EstateLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 27% gain to the company's top line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen the company endure a nasty 30% drop in revenue in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 11% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we find it concerning that Gree Real EstateLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
Gree Real EstateLtd shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Gree Real EstateLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Gree Real EstateLtd (including 2 which shouldn't be ignored).
If you're unsure about the strength of Gree Real EstateLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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