share_log

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Phenix Optical Company Limited (SHSE:600071) With Shares Advancing 28%

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 27, 2024 18:49

Phenix Optical Company Limited (SHSE:600071) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 28% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 6.8% isn't as attractive.

Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that Phenix Optical's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Electronic industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 3.3x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

big
SHSE:600071 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 27th 2024

How Phenix Optical Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Phenix Optical over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Phenix Optical will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Phenix Optical's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Phenix Optical's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 3.8% decrease to the company's top line. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 15% in total. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Phenix Optical's P/S is comparable to that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Phenix Optical's P/S is back within range of the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Phenix Optical's average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's hard to accept the current share price as fair value.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Phenix Optical that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment