Those holding Jonjee Hi-Tech Industrial and Commercial Holding Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600872) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 28% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 38% over that time.
Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Food industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.4x, you may consider Jonjee Hi-Tech Industrial and Commercial HoldingLtd as a stock probably not worth researching with its 3.2x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
What Does Jonjee Hi-Tech Industrial and Commercial HoldingLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
Jonjee Hi-Tech Industrial and Commercial HoldingLtd could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.
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What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Jonjee Hi-Tech Industrial and Commercial HoldingLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 4.5%. At least revenue has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 15% during the coming year according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 16%, which is not materially different.
With this information, we find it interesting that Jonjee Hi-Tech Industrial and Commercial HoldingLtd is trading at a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Key Takeaway
Jonjee Hi-Tech Industrial and Commercial HoldingLtd shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Given Jonjee Hi-Tech Industrial and Commercial HoldingLtd's future revenue forecasts are in line with the wider industry, the fact that it trades at an elevated P/S is somewhat surprising. When we see revenue growth that just matches the industry, we don't expect elevates P/S figures to remain inflated for the long-term. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Jonjee Hi-Tech Industrial and Commercial HoldingLtd (at least 2 which make us uncomfortable), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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